Florida vs. Kentucky betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 14

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 14 Florida Gators (18-6, 9-2 SEC) bring a four-game winning streak into a home matchup with the No. 25 Kentucky Wildcats (17-7, 8-3 SEC), winners of three straight. The Gators are heavy favorites (-13.5) in the contest, which starts at 3 p.m. ET (on ABC) on Saturday, February 14, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

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Spread

Florida Cover -13.5 vs Kentucky -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Florida vs. Kentucky betting lines

  • Florida moneyline odds to win: -1031
  • Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +631
  • Spread: Florida (-13.5)
  • Total: 154.5

Florida statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In home games, Florida sports a worse record against the spread (5-6-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (6-1-0).
  • When it comes to point totals, the Gators hit the over more consistently in home games, as they’ve gone over the total four times in 11 opportunities this season (36.4%). In away games, they have hit the over two times in seven opportunities (28.6%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Florida has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.889) compared to road games (.833).

Recent trends

  • The Gators have been racking up 89.0 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little higher than the 86.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Florida has been more porous on defense lately, giving up 71.2 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 71.0 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2025-26 season.
  • While the Gators are knocking down the same number of threes per game over their past 10 contests in comparison to their season-long average (7.4), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (31.1% from deep over the last 10, 29.2% on the season).

Florida betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 6-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 3-5-0 (As Favorite: 12-10-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-15-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 2-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 8-1; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.1 (73rd in nation) 40.4 (27th) 42.8 (first) 27.1 (15th) 16.3 (55th) 11.2 (190th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Florida vs. Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, Kentucky is 8-7-0 at home against the spread (.533 winning percentage). On the road, it is 2-4-0 ATS (.333).
  • Wildcats games have finished above the over/under 53.3% of the time at home (eight of 15), and 50% of the time away (three of six).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Wildcats are scoring 78.0 points per contest, compared to their season average of 81.6.
  • Kentucky is giving up 74.2 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 71.3 points allowed.
  • The Wildcats are making 7.9 three-pointers per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.2). That said, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (36.9%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (34.5%).

Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 2-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-13-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-3 (Home: 12-2; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.2 (69th in nation) 41.6 (55th) 34.5 (71st) 30.0 (119th) 16.3 (55th) 9.5 (39th)
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