Two struggling teams hit the court when the Ole Miss Rebels (11-13, 3-8 SEC) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-13, 3-8 SEC) on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET. The Rebels are 3.5-point favorites as they look to break a six-game losing streak against the Bulldogs, losers of three straight. The matchup has an over/under set at 145 points.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Ole Miss Cover -3.5 vs Mississippi State -110
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: -179
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +148
- Spread: Ole Miss (-3.5)
- Total: 145
Ole Miss statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Ole Miss has done a better job covering the spread in road games (5-3-0) than it has at home (3-8-0).
- The Rebels have gone over the total more often at home, hitting the over in seven of 11 home matchups (63.6%). In road games, they have hit the over in four of eight games (50%).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Rebels have been racking up 73.3 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 73.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Ole Miss’ points-allowed average over its last 10 games (80.2) is 7.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (73.0).
- During their last 10 contests, the Rebels are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (7.5), while shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (33.0% compared to 34.0% season-long).
Ole Miss betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-16-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 2-7-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 5-8-0)
- O-U-P: 15-9-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 0-3; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.7 (271st in nation) | 42.4 (82nd) | 31.1 (247th) | 31.8 (229th) | 13.2 (239th) | 9.1 (24th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Mississippi State is 3-10-0 at home against the spread (.231 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-2-0 ATS (.667).
- Looking at the over/under, Bulldogs games have gone over less frequently at home (three of 13, 23.1%) than away (four of six, 66.7%).
- The Bulldogs, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-4) than on the road (2-3) this year.
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have fared worse offensively in their past 10 games, tallying 70.4 points per contest, 6.4 fewer points their than season average of 76.8.
- Mississippi State is allowing 79.7 points per contest over its past 10 games, which is 1.3 more points than it is allowing for the season (78.4).
- Over their previous 10 games, the Bulldogs are draining 6.1 three-pointers per game, 1.4 fewer threes than their season average (7.5). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (27.1%) compared to their season average (30.7%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-16-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 3-7-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
- O-U-P: 11-13-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 0-4; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 (245th in nation) | 43.1 (119th) | 36.7 (26th) | 35.1 (345th) | 12.3 (297th) | 11.3 (204th) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
