The Sacramento State Hornets (9-15, 5-7 Big Sky) are slight underdogs (by 1.5 points) to break a 13-game road losing streak when they visit the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (9-17, 3-10 Big Sky) on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The over/under for the matchup is set at 154.5.
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Northern Arizona Cover -1.5 vs Sacramento State -111
Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State betting lines
- Northern Arizona moneyline odds to win: -124
- Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +101
- Spread: Northern Arizona (-1.5)
- Total: 154.5
Northern Arizona statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Northern Arizona has performed better when playing at home, covering six times in 11 home games, and five times in 11 road games.
- Looking at point totals, the Lumberjacks hit the over more often at home, as they’ve gone over the total six times in 11 opportunities this season (54.5%). In road games, they have hit the over three times in 11 opportunities (27.3%).
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Lumberjacks have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 70.7 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 72.3 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
- Northern Arizona’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (78.9) is 2.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (76.1).
- Over their last 10 outings, the Lumberjacks are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.8 compared to 7.5 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.2% compared to 37.4% season-long).
Northern Arizona betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-11-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 2-0-0; As Underdog: 10-11-0)
- O-U-P: 10-13-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 3-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-17 (Home: 3-6; Away: 1-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 (77th in nation) | 47.5 (335th) | 27.5 (346th) | 32.1 (243rd) | 13.6 (206th) | 10.1 (77th) |
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Sacramento State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Sacramento State is 7-2-0 at home against the spread (.778 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-9-0 ATS (.308).
- In terms of the over/under, Hornets games have gone over six of nine times at home (66.7%), and eight of 13 on the road (61.5%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Hornets have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-2) than away (0-13).
Recent trends
- The Hornets are averaging 81.3 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 2.2 more than their average for the season (79.1).
- Sacramento State has performed worse defensively over its past 10 games, surrendering 83.3 points per contest, 0.8 more points than its season average of 82.5.
- Over their past 10 games, the Hornets are sinking 8.0 three-pointers per game, the same number as their season average. They own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (37.0%) compared to their season average (34.5%).
Sacramento State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 7-2-0; Away: 4-9-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 9-9-0 (As Favorite: 2-2-0; As Underdog: 9-9-0)
- O-U-P: 14-8-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-15 (Home: 3-2; Away: 0-13)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (321st in nation) | 45.8 (277th) | 32.9 (137th) | 36.8 (361st) | 13.3 (226th) | 10.8 (146th) |

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