The Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-10, 7-6 Sun Belt) are 6.5-point favorites as they try to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the South Alabama Jaguars (18-7, 8-4 Sun Belt) on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at First National Bank Arena. The game airs at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 150.5 points.
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Arkansas State Cover -6.5 vs South Alabama -114
Arkansas State vs. South Alabama betting lines
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -321
- South Alabama moneyline odds to win: +251
- Spread: Arkansas State (-6.5)
- Total: 150.5
Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Arkansas State has performed better at home, covering six times in 10 home games, and seven times in 14 road games.
- The Red Wolves have gone over the over/under in three of 10 home games (30%). They’ve fared better in road games, eclipsing the total in nine of 14 matchups (64.3%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Arkansas State has won a higher percentage of its home games (.700) compared to away games (.556).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Red Wolves have been putting up 80.6 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Arkansas State’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has allowed 75.7 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 77.0 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- Over their past 10 contests, the Red Wolves are making 0.7 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.9 compared to 9.2 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (34.1% compared to 33.1% season-long).
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-11-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 10-9-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-7 (Home: 7-3; Away: 5-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (186th in nation) | 44.6 (212th) | 37.8 (11th) | 29.6 (97th) | 15.7 (81st) | 13.7 (347th) |
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South Alabama statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- South Alabama has the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (4-4-0 record) and away (6-6-0) this year.
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Jaguars’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, four of eight) than away (58.3%, seven of 12).
- The Jaguars’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is 1.000 (1-0), and away it is .444 (4-5).
Recent trends
- The Jaguars have fared worse offensively in their last 10 games, scoring 71.7 points per contest, 1.9 fewer points their than season average of 73.6.
- South Alabama is ceding 68.6 points per game over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 68.1 points allowed.
- The Jaguars are sinking 6.8 threes per contest with a 34.7% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 6.6 and 33.9%.
South Alabama betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-12-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 6-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
- O-U-P: 12-11-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-2 (Home: 5-2; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 4-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (102nd in nation) | 38.1 (fourth) | 31.6 (220th) | 33.8 (323rd) | 11.4 (331st) | 8.3 (fourth) |
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