The Texas Southern Tigers (8-15, 6-6 SWAC) are underdogs (by 3.5 points) to extend a four-game home win streak when they host the Southern Jaguars (12-13, 8-4 SWAC) on Monday, February 16, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 152.5 points.
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Southern Cover -3.5 vs Texas Southern -112
Southern vs. Texas Southern betting lines
- Southern moneyline odds to win: -206
- Texas Southern moneyline odds to win: +167
- Spread: Southern (-3.5)
- Total: 152.5
Southern statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Southern has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered two times in six games at home, and it has covered seven times in 16 games on the road.
- The Jaguars have exceeded the total more often at home, hitting the over in four of six home matchups (66.7%). In road games, they have hit the over in 10 of 16 games (62.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Southern has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.667) compared to road games (.600).
Recent trends
- The Jaguars’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, racking up 76.7 points a contest compared to the 80.6 they’ve averaged this year.
- Southern’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 72.4 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 78.7 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Jaguars’ past 10 outings have seen them make 5.4 three-pointers per game while shooting 27.4% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 6.7 makes and 32.8%.
Southern betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-13-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 7-9-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 3-8-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
- O-U-P: 14-8-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 10-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-4 (Home: 4-2; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (165th in nation) | 44.9 (227th) | 33.2 (120th) | 32.8 (287th) | 14.7 (126th) | 11.5 (227th) |
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Texas Southern statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Texas Southern is 4-4-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, it is 2-11-0 ATS (.154).
- Tigers games have gone above the over/under 62.5% of the time at home (five of eight), and 53.8% of the time away (seven of 13).
- In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Tigers have a better winning percentage at home (.400, 2-3 record) than on the road (.100, 1-9).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Tigers are averaging 78.7 points per contest, 4.1 more than their season average (74.6).
- While Texas Southern is giving up 79.6 points per game in 2025-26, it has bettered that mark in its past 10 games, allowing 72.8 points per contest.
- In their past 10 games, the Tigers are making 8.1 threes per contest, 1.7 more than their season average (6.4). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (38.6%) compared to their season average (33.5%).
Texas Southern betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-15-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-11-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 1-10-0 (As Favorite: 2-3-0; As Underdog: 4-12-0)
- O-U-P: 12-9-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 7-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-2 (Home: 2-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-12 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (192nd in nation) | 45.3 (250th) | 31.3 (238th) | 32.8 (287th) | 10.6 (354th) | 12.9 (324th) |

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