South Dakota State vs. North Dakota betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The North Dakota Fightin’ Hawks (16-14, 10-4 Summit League) visit the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (12-16, 5-8 Summit League) after winning five straight road games. The Jackrabbits are favored by 6.5 points in the contest, which tips at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The over/under is set at 151.5 in the matchup.

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South Dakota State Cover -6.5 vs North Dakota -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

South Dakota State vs. North Dakota betting lines

  • South Dakota State moneyline odds to win: -287
  • North Dakota moneyline odds to win: +225
  • Spread: South Dakota State (-6.5)
  • Total: 151.5

South Dakota State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • South Dakota State has done a better job covering the spread in road games (6-5-0) than it has in home games (4-4-1).
  • The Jackrabbits have hit the over on the total in six of nine home games (66.7%), compared to five of 11 road games (45.5%).
  • South Dakota State has fared better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 5-3, compared to going 3-3 on the road.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Jackrabbits have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 73.3 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 75.4 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen South Dakota State concede 0.5 more points per game (73.1) than its season-long average (72.6).
  • The Jackrabbits’ past 10 outings have seen them make 7.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 33.0% from deep. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 7.9 makes and 33.9%.

South Dakota State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-13-1 (Home: 4-4-1; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 5-2-1 (As Favorite: 7-8-1; As Underdog: 4-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-12-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-7 (Home: 5-3; Away: 3-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-9 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (118th in nation) 42.9 (103rd) 33.7 (96th) 30.6 (151st) 14.4 (142nd) 10.8 (153rd)

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North Dakota statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • North Dakota has been better against the spread away (10-3-0) than at home (7-6-0) this season.
  • Fightin’ Hawks games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (seven times out of 13) than on the road (six of 13) this year.
  • The Fightin’ Hawks, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-4) than away (6-5) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Fightin’ Hawks are posting 80.7 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 3.3 more than their average for the season (77.4).
  • While North Dakota is ceding 77.2 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 79.4 points per contest.
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Fightin’ Hawks are making 8.0 three-pointers per contest, the same number as their season average. They own a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (35.9%) compared to their season average (33.1%).

North Dakota betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-10-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 10-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 12-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 4-3; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-10 (Home: 2-4; Away: 6-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.6 (279th in nation) 48.0 (347th) 30.7 (260th) 32.6 (271st) 11.2 (344th) 9.6 (43rd)
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