The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (24-3, 17-1 Southland) are heavily favored (by 13.5 points) to extend a 14-game home win streak when they host the Nicholls State Colonels (11-16, 10-8 Southland) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET. The over/under is set at 147.5 in the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $39.05
SFA Cover -13.5 vs Nicholls State -105
SFA vs. Nicholls State betting lines
- SFA moneyline odds to win: -1176
- Nicholls State moneyline odds to win: +698
- Spread: SFA (-13.5)
- Total: 147.5
SFA statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- SFA has done a better job covering the spread in home games (10-2-0) than it has in road affairs (10-3-0).
- In terms of point totals, the Lumberjacks hit the over more consistently in home games, as they’ve eclipsed the total five times in 12 opportunities this season (41.7%). In away games, they have hit the over five times in 13 opportunities (38.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, SFA has won a higher percentage of its home games (1.000) compared to away games (.889).
Recent trends
- The Lumberjacks’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, racking up 77.4 points a contest compared to the 77.6 they’ve averaged this year.
- SFA has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 67.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 65.3 it has surrendered this year.
- During their last 10 outings, the Lumberjacks are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.8 compared to 9.1 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.3% compared to 36.8% season-long).
SFA betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-5-0 (Home: 10-2-0; Away: 10-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 15-4-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
- O-U-P: 10-15-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 5-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2 (178th in nation) | 41.1 (42nd) | 34.5 (62nd) | 29.1 (65th) | 14.0 (171st) | 8.9 (11th) |
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Nicholls State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Nicholls State has been better against the spread on the road (8-9-0) than at home (3-6-0) this season.
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Colonels’ games have finished above the over/under at home (55.6%, five of nine) compared to on the road (58.8%, 10 of 17).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Colonels have won the same percentage of games (.333) at home (1-2) and on the road (5-10).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Colonels are compiling 70.5 points per contest, compared to their season average of 73.9.
- Nicholls State is giving up 77.2 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 76.7 points allowed.
- The Colonels are draining 1.6 fewer threes per contest over their previous 10 games (7.2) compared to their season average (8.8), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.9%) compared to their season mark (34.2%).
Nicholls State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-15-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 8-9-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 8-10-0)
- O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 10-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-4 (Home: 3-3; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-12 (Home: 1-2; Away: 5-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 (264th in nation) | 48.3 (352nd) | 27.2 (352nd) | 32.5 (266th) | 13.3 (226th) | 11.1 (192nd) |
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