Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 23

Data Skrive

The Northwestern State Demons (9-19, 7-12 Southland) host the Incarnate Word Cardinals (11-17, 6-13 Southland) in a matchup of Southland teams at Prather Coliseum, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 23, 2026. The Demons are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The point total is 138.5 for the matchup.

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Northwestern State Cover -2.5 vs Incarnate Word -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word betting lines

  • Northwestern State moneyline odds to win: -120
  • Incarnate Word moneyline odds to win: -102
  • Spread: Northwestern State (-2.5)
  • Total: 138.5

Northwestern State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Northwestern State owns a better record against the spread in home games (7-4-0) than it does in road games (9-6-0).
  • The Demons have exceeded the over/under in four of 11 home games (36.4%). They’ve done better in road games, eclipsing the total in 11 of 15 matchups (73.3%).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Demons have been racking up 65.9 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 70.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Northwestern State’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has given up 67.5 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 73.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
  • The Demons’ last 10 contests have seen them make 5.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 30.4% from deep. Both numbers are down compared to their 2025-26 averages of 6.1 makes and 33.1%.

Northwestern State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 15-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 11-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 2-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-18 (Home: 3-5; Away: 2-13)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.5 (226th in nation) 46.3 (292nd) 27.5 (348th) 31.2 (199th) 12.3 (298th) 10.8 (168th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Incarnate Word statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Incarnate Word has been better against the spread at home (4-6-0) than on the road (4-9-0) this season.
  • In terms of the over/under, Cardinals games have gone over six of 10 times at home (60%), and five of 13 away (38.5%).
  • In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Cardinals have a better winning percentage at home (.333, 1-2 record) than away (.250, 2-6).

Recent trends

  • The Cardinals have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, posting 72.3 points per contest, 3.2 fewer points their than season average of 75.5.
  • Over its last 10 games, Incarnate Word is allowing 81.2 points per contest, 6.4 more points than its season average (74.8).
  • Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals are draining 8.8 treys per game, the same number as their season average. They have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (38.4%) compared to their season average (38.2%).

Incarnate Word betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-16-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 4-9-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-12-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 5-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-8 (Home: 4-3; Away: 0-5)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.7 (213th in nation) 47.2 (326th) 31.3 (228th) 28.9 (57th) 11.8 (322nd) 10.6 (132nd)
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