The UMass Minutemen (15-13, 6-9 MAC) bring a four-game losing streak into a road matchup with the Ball State Cardinals (8-19, 3-11 MAC), who have lost four straight as well. The Cardinals are underdogs by 4.5 points in the contest, which tips at 7 p.m. ET (on ESPN+) on Tuesday, February 24, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points.
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UMass Cover -4.5 vs Ball State -115
UMass vs. Ball State betting lines
- UMass moneyline odds to win: -226
- Ball State moneyline odds to win: +182
- Spread: UMass (-4.5)
- Total: 142.5
UMass statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, UMass has performed worse when playing at home, covering four times in 14 home games, and three times in eight road games.
- The Minutemen have gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (57.1%) than away games (75%).
- UMass has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-2 (.818). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 1-3 (.250).
Recent trends
- The Minutemen have seen an increase in scoring lately, putting up 81.1 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.2 points more than the 80.9 they’ve scored this season.
- UMass’ defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 82.6 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 77.3 points per game its opponents average this season.
- Over their past 10 outings, the Minutemen are making 0.4 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.3 compared to 7.9 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.6% compared to 36.0% season-long).
UMass betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-17-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 3-10-0 (As Favorite: 3-14-0; As Underdog: 7-3-0)
- O-U-P: 17-10-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-6 (Home: 9-2; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (65th in nation) | 45.2 (245th) | 33.8 (89th) | 28.4 (40th) | 17.6 (21st) | 12.8 (326th) |
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Ball State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Ball State has a better winning percentage at home (.500, 5-5-0 record) than away (.308, 4-9-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Cardinals games have finished over less frequently at home (two of 10, 20%) than on the road (three of 13, 23.1%).
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Cardinals have a better winning percentage at home (.167, 1-5 record) than away (.000, 0-10).
Recent trends
- The Cardinals have performed worse offensively over their previous 10 games, scoring 62.5 points per contest, 3.5 fewer points their than season average of 66.0.
- Over its previous 10 games, Ball State is surrendering 69.4 points per contest, compared to its season average of 70.3 points allowed.
- The Cardinals are sinking 6.7 treys per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.9). That said, they own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.5%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (31.2%).
Ball State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-15-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 4-9-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 7-8-0 (As Favorite: 2-5-0; As Underdog: 8-10-0)
- O-U-P: 7-18-0 (Home: 2-8-0; Away: 3-10-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-16 (Home: 1-5; Away: 0-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.2 (340th in nation) | 45.3 (251st) | 27.6 (347th) | 32.3 (255th) | 12.0 (311th) | 10.0 (71st) |

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