Austin Peay vs. Central Arkansas betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 25

Data Skrive

The Austin Peay Governors (21-6, 15-1 ASUN) are favored (-4.5) to build on a 10-game win streak when they host the Central Arkansas Bears (18-11, 13-3 ASUN) at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at F&M Bank Arena. The contest airs on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 152.5.

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Austin Peay Cover -4.5 vs Central Arkansas -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Austin Peay vs. Central Arkansas betting lines

  • Austin Peay moneyline odds to win: -209
  • Central Arkansas moneyline odds to win: +168
  • Spread: Austin Peay (-4.5)
  • Total: 152.5

Austin Peay statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Austin Peay has played better at home, covering seven times in 10 home games, and seven times in 15 road games.
  • In terms of over/unders, the Governors hit the over more often at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total five times in 10 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over six times in 15 opportunities (40%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Austin Peay has an identical winning percentage at home compared to away from home (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Governors’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 83.2 points per contest compared to the 81.2 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Austin Peay’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (71.9) is 1.0 more point per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.9).
  • While the Governors are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (7.3 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (8.4), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (38.2% from deep over the last 10, 35.8% on the season).

Austin Peay betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 7-6-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 5-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-14-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 6-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-0 (Home: 9-0; Away: 6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-6 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.5 (111th in nation) 43.5 (135th) 32.1 (188th) 32.0 (243rd) 16.0 (63rd) 10.3 (103rd)

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Central Arkansas statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Central Arkansas’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .750 (9-3-0). On the road, it is .467 (7-8-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bears games have finished over more often at home (eight of 12, 66.7%) than away (five of 15, 33.3%).
  • This year the Bears are 2-1 at home when moneyline underdogs (.667 winning percentage). Away they are 2-7 (.222).

Recent trends

  • The Bears are tallying 83.7 points per contest in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 80.0.
  • Central Arkansas has performed better defensively in its previous 10 games, surrendering 72.8 points per contest, 1.0 fewer point than its season average of 73.8 allowed.
  • The Bears are draining 11.2 three-pointers per contest with a 38.9% three-point percentage in their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 10.7 and 34.3%.

Central Arkansas betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-11-0 (Home: 9-3-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 10-4-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 5-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 9-0; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 2-1; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (185th in nation) 44.5 (195th) 32.9 (128th) 31.2 (198th) 16.5 (47th) 10.6 (131st)
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