Little Rock vs. Morehead State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 26

Data Skrive

The Morehead State Eagles (18-12, 14-5 OVC) are only 2.5-point underdogs as they attempt to continue a three-game road win streak when they take on the Little Rock Trojans (11-18, 8-10 OVC) on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at Jack Stephens Center. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is 138.5 in the matchup.

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Little Rock Cover -2.5 vs Morehead State -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Little Rock vs. Morehead State betting lines

  • Little Rock moneyline odds to win: -154
  • Morehead State moneyline odds to win: +126
  • Spread: Little Rock (-2.5)
  • Total: 138.5

Little Rock statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Little Rock has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in nine games at home, and it has covered eight times in 18 games when playing on the road.
  • The Trojans have eclipsed the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in five of nine home matchups (55.6%). On the road, they have hit the over in eight of 18 games (44.4%).
  • In home games, Little Rock has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 3-1 (.750). In road games, it is 2-2 (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Trojans’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 67.3 points a contest compared to the 70.2 they’ve averaged this year.
  • The past 10 games have seen Little Rock give up 4.0 fewer points per game (70.3) than its season-long average (74.3).
  • The Trojans are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 6.3 threes per game and shooting 33.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.4 makes and 35.5% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Little Rock betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-16-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 8-10-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 7-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 8-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 3-1; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-15 (Home: 1-4; Away: 3-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (218th in nation) 45.4 (253rd) 30.1 (280th) 33.1 (304th) 13.5 (207th) 12.2 (293rd)

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Morehead State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, Morehead State is 7-3-0 at home against the spread (.700 winning percentage). On the road, it is 9-7-0 ATS (.562).
  • Eagles games have finished above the over/under 60% of the time at home (six of 10), and 43.8% of the time away (seven of 16).
  • The Eagles’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .667 (2-1), and away it is .286 (4-10).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Eagles are scoring 73.4 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points than their season average (75.8).
  • Morehead State has performed better defensively in its past 10 games, giving up 69.3 points per contest, 5.4 fewer points than its season average of 74.7 allowed.
  • The Eagles are draining 5.3 three-pointers per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.7 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.0). That said, they own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (35.6%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (33.8%).

Morehead State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-11-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 9-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 6-3-0; As Underdog: 10-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 6-1; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-11 (Home: 2-1; Away: 4-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.6 (108th in nation) 43.7 (152nd) 33.2 (113th) 30.3 (131st) 13.8 (184th) 11.5 (228th)
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