The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-11, 9-7 CUSA) will try to extend a four-game winning streak when they host the New Mexico State Aggies (13-13, 6-10 CUSA) on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at E. A. Diddle Arena as 4.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under is set at 151.5 in the matchup.
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Western Kentucky Cover -4.5 vs New Mexico State -119
Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State betting lines
- Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -235
- New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: +188
- Spread: Western Kentucky (-4.5)
- Total: 151.5
Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Western Kentucky owns a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-7-0) than it does in road games (5-5-0).
- At home, the Hilltoppers eclipse the total 50% of the time (six of 12 games). They’ve hit the over in 40% of road games (four of 10 contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, Western Kentucky has won a higher percentage of its home games (.800) compared to road games (.750).
Recent trends
- The Hilltoppers have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 73.6 points per game in their last 10 contests, 4.9 points fewer than the 78.5 they’ve scored this year.
- The last 10 games have seen Western Kentucky give up 0.7 fewer points per game (74.3) than its season-long average (75.0).
- The Hilltoppers’ past 10 outings have seen them make 9.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 33.6% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 8.5 makes and 33.4%.
Western Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-12-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 7-4-0)
- O-U-P: 11-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 8-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 0-2; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.4 (355th in nation) | 43.0 (109th) | 35.5 (37th) | 32.9 (293rd) | 13.1 (243rd) | 9.9 (62nd) |
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New Mexico State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, New Mexico State has performed better at home (5-5-0) than on the road (4-5-0).
- Aggies games have finished above the over/under less often at home (six times out of 10) than on the road (seven of nine) this year.
- When moneyline underdogs, the Aggies have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (2-4).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Aggies are posting 74.8 points per contest, 0.7 fewer points than their season average (75.5).
- While New Mexico State is surrendering 70.8 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 74.6 points per contest.
- The Aggies are making 8.5 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (8.0). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (34.7%) compared to their season average from downtown (34.1%).
New Mexico State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-12-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
- O-U-P: 15-8-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 7-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-7 (Home: 4-4; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-6 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.7 (274th in nation) | 40.7 (31st) | 34.1 (76th) | 30.3 (131st) | 13.6 (202nd) | 10.0 (74th) |
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