Arkansas State vs. Louisiana betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 27

Data Skrive

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-11, 10-7 Sun Belt) are heavily favored (-14.5) to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (10-20, 7-10 Sun Belt) at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 27, 2026 at First National Bank Arena. The contest airs on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 146.5.

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Arkansas State Cover -14.5 vs Louisiana -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Arkansas State vs. Louisiana betting lines

  • Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -1471
  • Louisiana moneyline odds to win: +842
  • Spread: Arkansas State (-14.5)
  • Total: 146.5

Arkansas State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • At home, Arkansas State sports an identical winning percentage against the spread as it does on the road (.500).
  • Looking at over/unders, the Red Wolves hit the over less consistently in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total five times in 12 opportunities this season (41.7%). On the road, they have hit the over 10 times in 16 opportunities (62.5%).
  • Arkansas State has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 8-4 (.667). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 7-4 (.636).

Recent trends

  • The Red Wolves’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, scoring 83.5 points per contest compared to the 83.2 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Arkansas State’s defense has been tough lately, as the team has given up 74.9 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 77.8 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Red Wolves’ past 10 contests have seen them make 9.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.0% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 9.2 makes and 33.3%.

Arkansas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 8-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 11-12-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 10-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-8 (Home: 8-4; Away: 7-4)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (183rd in nation) 44.3 (181st) 38.3 (fourth) 29.5 (85th) 15.6 (81st) 14.0 (356th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Arkansas State vs. Louisiana? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Louisiana statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Louisiana has been better at home (8-7-0) than away (6-9-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Ragin’ Cajuns games have finished over more often at home (seven of 15, 46.7%) than on the road (six of 15, 40%).
  • The Ragin’ Cajuns, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-7) than on the road (2-12) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Ragin’ Cajuns are posting 68.3 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 5.4 more than their average for the season (62.9).
  • Louisiana is allowing 70.8 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 1.2 more points than it is allowing for the season (69.6).
  • The Ragin’ Cajuns are draining 0.2 fewer treys per contest in their previous 10 games (7.6) compared to their season average (7.8), but they are producing a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.8%) compared to their season mark (33.9%).

Louisiana betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 6-9-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 11-14-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 6-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-1 (Home: 4-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-19 (Home: 3-7; Away: 2-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.5 (354th in nation) 45.6 (261st) 26.9 (357th) 29.6 (93rd) 10.5 (357th) 10.0 (76th)
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