Buffalo vs. Central Michigan betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bulls (16-12, 6-9 MAC) host the Central Michigan Chippewas (9-19, 5-10 MAC) after losing six straight home games. The Bulls are favored by 6.5 points in the contest, which starts at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The over/under for the matchup is set at 150.5.

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Spread

Buffalo Cover -6.5 vs Central Michigan -107

Bet $20, Payout $38.69

Buffalo vs. Central Michigan betting lines

  • Buffalo moneyline odds to win: -290
  • Central Michigan moneyline odds to win: +228
  • Spread: Buffalo (-6.5)
  • Total: 150.5

Buffalo statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In home games, Buffalo sports a worse record against the spread (6-5-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (10-3-0).
  • At home, the Bulls go over the over/under 63.6% of the time (seven of 11 games). They’ve hit the over in 61.5% of games on the road (eight of 13 contests).
  • Buffalo has performed worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 3-2, compared to going 5-0 on the road.

Recent trends

  • The Bulls have been scoring 74.6 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 78.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
  • Buffalo has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 78.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 75.9 it has surrendered this year.
  • While the Bulls are knocking down the same number of threes per game over their past 10 contests compared to their season-long average (9.7), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (36.1% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 38.4% on the season).

Buffalo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-9-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 10-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 9-3-0; As Underdog: 8-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-2 (Home: 3-2; Away: 5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-9 (Home: 1-4; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.1 (69th in nation) 47.1 (321st) 29.0 (321st) 29.5 (85th) 14.4 (141st) 10.6 (139th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Buffalo vs. Central Michigan? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Central Michigan statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Central Michigan is 8-2-0 at home against the spread (.800 winning percentage). On the road, it is 6-8-0 ATS (.429).
  • Both at home (five of 10) and on the road (seven of 14), the Chippewas’ games have finished over (in terms of the over/under) 50% of the time.
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Chippewas have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-3) than away (0-14).

Recent trends

  • While the Chippewas are averaging 73.8 points per game in 2025-26, they have bettered that mark in their last 10 games, producing 76.9 a contest.
  • In its previous 10 games, Central Michigan is allowing 71.4 points per contest, 5.5 fewer points than its season average (76.9).
  • In their last 10 games, the Chippewas are making 7.7 three-pointers per contest, 1.3 more than their season average (6.4). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (41.2%) compared to their season average (32.5%).

Central Michigan betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-10-0 (Home: 8-2-0; Away: 6-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 9-5-0 (As Favorite: 4-1-0; As Underdog: 12-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 7-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-18 (Home: 3-3; Away: 0-14)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (97th in nation) 45.8 (271st) 29.7 (298th) 32.4 (264th) 15.0 (111th) 11.6 (236th)
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