The Bradley Braves (19-11, 12-7 MVC) are 4.5-point favorites as they look to extend a three-game home win streak when they take on the Murray State Racers (20-10, 12-7 MVC) on Sunday, March 1, 2026 at Carver Arena. The game airs at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup has a point total of 158.5.

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Bradley vs. Murray State betting lines

• Bradley moneyline odds to win: -192
• Murray State moneyline odds to win: +155
• Spread: Bradley (-4.5)
• Total: 158.5

Bradley statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Bradley has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered six times in 14 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered three times in 11 opportunities in road games.
• In terms of over/unders, the Braves hit the over less often at home, as they’ve gone over the total seven times in 14 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over seven times in 11 opportunities (63.6%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Bradley has taken 11 of 13 games at home, good for a .846 winning percentage. It has won three of four games on the road (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• The Braves’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, putting up 75.0 points a contest compared to the 77.1 they’ve averaged this year.
• Bradley’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (72.8) is 0.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.9).
• The Braves are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 9.7 threes per game and shooting 38.5% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9.0 makes and 35.9% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Bradley betting records this season

• ATS Record: 11-18-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 3-8-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 7-9-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
• O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 7-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-4 (Home: 11-2; Away: 3-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-6)

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Murray State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• This year, Murray State is 8-7-0 at home against the spread (.533 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-7-0 ATS (.300).
• Looking at the over/under, Racers games have gone over less often at home (six of 15, 40%) than away (six of 10, 60%).
• The Racers’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-1) and away (0-3).

Recent trends

• In their past 10 games, the Racers are putting up 75.2 points per contest, 8.5 fewer points than their season average (83.7).
• Murray State has performed worse defensively in its past 10 games, giving up 81.0 points per contest, 1.7 more points than its season average of 79.3.
• The Racers are draining 7.9 threes per contest over their past 10 games, which is 1.6 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.5). Additionally, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.9%) compared to their season average from downtown (34.7%).

Murray State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 3-7-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 2-5-0)
• O-U-P: 16-14-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 6-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-5 (Home: 11-2; Away: 5-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-3)