The Fairfield Stags (19-11, 11-8 MAAC) are 3.5-point favorites as they look to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (14-16, 10-9 MAAC) on Sunday, March 1, 2026 at Leo D. Mahoney Arena. The game airs at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is 144.5.
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Spread
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary’s betting lines
- Fairfield moneyline odds to win: -182
- Mount St. Mary’s moneyline odds to win: +148
- Spread: Fairfield (-3.5)
- Total: 144.5
Fairfield statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Fairfield has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered five times in 14 games when playing at home, and it has covered eight times in 15 games on the road.
- At home, the Stags eclipse the over/under 21.4% of the time (three of 14 games). They hit the over more often on the road, exceeding the total in 66.7% of games (10 of 15).
- In home games, Fairfield has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 8-1 (.889). In away games, it is 4-2 (.667) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Stags have been racking up 72.3 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Fairfield’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (69.3) is 3.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.4).
- During their last 10 contests, the Stags are making 1.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.6 compared to 7.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (33.0% compared to 33.8% season-long).
Fairfield betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-16-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 8-7-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 4-7-0 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 7-7-0)
- O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 3-11-0; Away: 10-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 4-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-8 (Home: 3-2; Away: 3-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.0 (257th in nation) | 44.6 (201st) | 35.1 (41st) | 30.6 (163rd) | 12.2 (298th) | 10.0 (78th) |
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Mount St. Mary’s statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Mount St. Mary’s is 7-5-0 at home against the spread (.583 winning percentage). On the road, it is 10-7-0 ATS (.588).
- Mountaineers games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (four times out of 12) than on the road (seven of 17) this season.
- When moneyline underdogs, the Mountaineers have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-4) than on the road (1-11).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Mountaineers are averaging 69.4 points per contest, 1.0 more than their season average (68.4).
- Over its last 10 games, Mount St. Mary’s is giving up 67.4 points per contest, 3.7 fewer points than its season average (71.1).
- In their last 10 games, the Mountaineers are draining 7.5 three-pointers per contest, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (7.8). They sport a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (33.3%) compared to their season average (32.4%).
Mount St. Mary’s betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 10-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 6-7-0 (As Favorite: 10-1-0; As Underdog: 7-11-0)
- O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 7-10-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-15 (Home: 2-4; Away: 1-11)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 (262nd in nation) | 40.2 (22nd) | 34.0 (77th) | 29.7 (91st) | 13.6 (197th) | 14.7 (363rd) |
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