Texas Tech vs. TCU betting: College basketball preview for March 3

Data Skrive

The No. 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders (22-7, 12-4 Big 12) bring a three-game win streak into a home matchup with the TCU Horned Frogs (19-10, 9-7 Big 12), who have won three straight as well. The Red Raiders are favorites (-8.5) in the contest, which begins at 7 p.m. ET (on Fox Sports 1) on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. The point total is set at 147.5 in the matchup.

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Texas Tech Cover -8.5 vs TCU -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Texas Tech vs. TCU betting lines

  • Texas Tech moneyline odds to win: -429
  • TCU moneyline odds to win: +327
  • Spread: Texas Tech (-8.5)
  • Total: 147.5

Texas Tech statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Texas Tech has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered nine times in 15 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered five times in nine opportunities on the road.
  • At home, the Red Raiders exceed the total 53.3% of the time (eight of 15 games). They’ve hit the over in 33.3% of away games (three of nine contests).
  • Texas Tech has fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 13-1, compared to going 3-2 in road games.

Recent trends

  • The Red Raiders have been putting up 78.6 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
  • Texas Tech’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (70.5) is 1.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.2).
  • During their past 10 outings, the Red Raiders are making 0.2 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (11.7 compared to 11.5 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (40.5% compared to 39.5% season-long).

Texas Tech betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 11-11-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-4 (Home: 13-1; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.2 (60th in nation) 43.5 (130th) 34.6 (57th) 30.2 (134th) 15.8 (73rd) 10.2 (99th)

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TCU statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • TCU has been better against the spread on the road (5-3-0) than at home (8-10-0) this season.
  • Looking at the over/under, Horned Frogs games have finished over less often at home (eight of 18, 44.4%) than on the road (four of eight, 50%).
  • The Horned Frogs, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-3) than on the road (2-2) this season.

Recent trends

  • While the Horned Frogs are scoring 78.3 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, tallying 76.7 points per contest.
  • While TCU is ceding 71.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 76.7 points per contest.
  • The Horned Frogs are sinking 0.9 fewer three-pointers per contest over their previous 10 games (6.5) compared to their season average (7.4), and they are delivering a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (31.4%) compared to their season mark (33.1%).

TCU betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 8-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-5 (Home: 12-2; Away: 1-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-5 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.7 (211th in nation) 44.6 (201st) 32.3 (162nd) 29.6 (90th) 15.8 (73rd) 10.5 (132nd)
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