The Western Michigan Broncos (10-19, 4-12 MAC) are 3.5-point favorites as they try to stop a three-game home losing streak when they square off against the Ball State Cardinals (10-19, 5-11 MAC) on Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at University Arena. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 135.5.
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Western Michigan Cover -3.5 vs Ball State -106
Western Michigan vs. Ball State betting lines
- Western Michigan moneyline odds to win: -167
- Ball State moneyline odds to win: +136
- Spread: Western Michigan (-3.5)
- Total: 135.5
Western Michigan statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Western Michigan has performed better at home, covering eight times in 12 home games, and seven times in 15 road games.
- Looking at over/unders, the Broncos hit the over less often at home, as they’ve exceeded the total six times in 12 opportunities this season (50%). In away games, they have hit the over 10 times in 15 opportunities (66.7%).
Recent trends
- The Broncos have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 72.7 points per game in their last 10 contests, 2.1 points fewer than the 74.8 they’ve scored this year.
- Western Michigan has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 79.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 79.4 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2025-26 season.
- While the Broncos are hitting fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (7.1 per game) when compared to their season-long average (7.2), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (37.4% from deep over the last 10, 35.1% on the season).
Western Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 7-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 4-0-0; As Underdog: 11-12-0)
- O-U-P: 16-11-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 10-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-18 (Home: 2-6; Away: 3-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 (237th in nation) | 46.0 (282nd) | 32.4 (154th) | 30.8 (176th) | 12.7 (272nd) | 11.3 (216th) |
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Ball State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Ball State has been better against the spread at home (6-5-0) than away (5-9-0) this season.
- Cardinals games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (three times out of 11) than away (three of 14) this year.
- The Cardinals, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-5) than away (1-10) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Cardinals are putting up 66.7 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, tallying 63.4 points per contest.
- Over its previous 10 games, Ball State is giving up 67.2 points per contest, 2.2 fewer points than its season average (69.4).
- The Cardinals are sinking 6.9 treys per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.0). Additionally, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.1%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (31.3%).
Ball State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-15-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 5-9-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 8-9-0 (As Favorite: 2-5-0; As Underdog: 10-10-0)
- O-U-P: 8-19-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 3-11-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-16 (Home: 2-5; Away: 1-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.3 (341st in nation) | 44.4 (190th) | 28.1 (338th) | 32.3 (260th) | 12.3 (293rd) | 9.9 (65th) |
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