Virginia vs. Wake Forest betting: College basketball preview for March 3

Data Skrive

The No. 13 Virginia Cavaliers (25-4, 13-3 ACC) host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (15-14, 6-10 ACC) after winning four straight home games. The Cavaliers are double-digit favorites by 14.5 points in the contest, which starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. The matchup has an over/under set at 148.5 points.

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Virginia Cover -14.5 vs Wake Forest -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

Virginia vs. Wake Forest betting lines

  • Virginia moneyline odds to win: -1613
  • Wake Forest moneyline odds to win: +872
  • Spread: Virginia (-14.5)
  • Total: 148.5

Virginia statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Virginia sports a better record against the spread in home games (8-7-0) than it does on the road (5-5-0).
  • In home games, the Cavaliers eclipse the over/under 33.3% of the time (five of 15 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, eclipsing the total in 40% of games (four of 10).
  • In home games, Virginia has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 12-1 (.923). In road games, it is 5-1 (.833) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Cavaliers have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 76.4 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 81.2 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Virginia give up 0.1 more points per game (68.2) than its season-long average (68.1).
  • The Cavaliers are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.6 threes per game and shooting 33.6% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.1 makes and 35.6% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Virginia betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 12-13-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 12-1; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.2 (124th in nation) 39.6 (12th) 37.1 (16th) 29.0 (63rd) 16.7 (39th) 10.3 (111th)

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Wake Forest statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Wake Forest has a better winning percentage at home (.412, 7-10-0 record) than on the road (.250, 2-6-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Demon Deacons games have gone over 12 of 17 times at home (70.6%), and three of eight away (37.5%).
  • This season the Demon Deacons are 1-4 at home as moneyline underdogs (.200 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-5 (.000).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Demon Deacons are scoring 75.7 points per game, compared to their season average of 79.1.
  • Wake Forest has fared worse defensively over its past 10 games, surrendering 79.4 points per contest, 2.3 more points than its season average of 77.1.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Demon Deacons are sinking 8.8 threes per contest, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (9.1). They sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (36.1%) compared to their season average (34.2%).

Wake Forest betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-17-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 2-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-10-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-12-0 (Home: 12-5-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-3 (Home: 10-2; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 1-4; Away: 0-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (187th in nation) 44.9 (222nd) 29.7 (299th) 31.3 (211th) 14.4 (143rd) 10.4 (118th)
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