The Northwestern Wildcats (13-16, 5-13 Big Ten) are heavy underdogs (+10.5) as they try to build on a three-game win streak when they host the No. 15 Purdue Boilermakers (22-7, 12-6 Big Ten) at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at Welsh-Ryan Arena. The matchup airs on Big Ten Network. The matchup has an over/under set at 146.5 points.
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Purdue Cover -10.5 vs Northwestern -113
Purdue vs. Northwestern betting lines
- Purdue moneyline odds to win: -606
- Northwestern moneyline odds to win: +420
- Spread: Purdue (-10.5)
- Total: 146.5
Purdue statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Purdue has performed worse at home, covering five times in 16 home games, and six times in 10 road games.
- The Boilermakers have hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of games at home (68.8%) than games on the road (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Purdue has taken 11 of 14 games at home, good for a .786 winning percentage. It has won five of eight games on the road (.625) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Boilermakers have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 78.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.4 points fewer than the 82.3 they’ve scored this season.
- Purdue has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 73.4 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 69.9 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
- During their last 10 contests, the Boilermakers are making 0.6 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.0 compared to 9.4 season-long), while shooting the same percentage from deep in that span as their season-long average (38.3%).
Purdue betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-16-0 (Home: 5-11-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 7-8-0 (As Favorite: 11-15-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-6 (Home: 11-3; Away: 5-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.9 (16th in nation) | 43.9 (155th) | 33.5 (97th) | 27.0 (13th) | 19.6 (third) | 8.7 (eighth) |
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Northwestern statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Northwestern has performed better against the spread on the road (5-5-0) than at home (5-10-0) this season.
- Wildcats games have finished above the over/under 46.7% of the time at home (seven of 15), and 40% of the time away (four of 10).
- The Wildcats’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-3), and on the road it is .250 (2-6).
Recent trends
- The Wildcats are putting up 67.1 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 6.6 fewer points than their average for the season (73.7).
- Northwestern is allowing 73.9 points per contest in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.5 points allowed.
- The Wildcats are sinking 6.7 treys per contest with a 34.7% three-point percentage over their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 6.3 and 32.2%.
Northwestern betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-18-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 4-12-0; As Underdog: 7-6-0)
- O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 9-3; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 0-3; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6 (158th in nation) | 43.4 (121st) | 28.0 (342nd) | 32.1 (246th) | 17.1 (28th) | 8.3 (third) |
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