The Los Angeles Lakers (37-24) are underdogs (+4.5) as they attempt to extend a three-game win streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (38-24) at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at Ball Arena. The game airs on Amazon Prime Video and SportsNet LA. The point total is 240.5 in the matchup.
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Nuggets Cover -4.5 vs Lakers -111
Nuggets vs. Lakers betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -190
- Lakers odds to win: +159
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
- Total: 240.5
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver has a 13-15 record against the spread at home and is 16-12 in home contests.
- This year, Denver has a 7-8 record ATS at home when playing as 4.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have hit the over on a set point total in a home game 14 times this season.
- Recent performance seems to go against Denver to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 233.1 points per contest this season.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread four times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The Nuggets’ past 10 contests saw six hit the over.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 4.5 fewer points (236.0) than this matchup’s over/under.
- Across their past 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 1.8 more points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets are 29-13 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 69% of those games).
- Denver has gone 22-7 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -190 or shorter (winning 75.9%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Nuggets’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 (second in NBA) | 46.7 (12th) | 43.3 (18th) | 42.7 (eighth) | 28 (ninth) | 12.2 (third) |
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Lakers Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Lakers have covered the spread 17 times on the road and are 19-12 in road contests.
- The Lakers have gone 5-5 ATS on the road this year as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Lakers have hit the over in 14 of their 31 road games this year with a set over/under (45.2%).
- The Lakers and their opponents have averaged a total of 230.4 points per road contest this year, 10.1 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Lakers Recent Trends
- The Lakers have covered the spread four times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- Lakers’ past 10 games saw four go over the total.
- The last 10 Lakers games averaged 229.9 total points, 10.6 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- In the past 10 games, the Lakers are scoring 114.2 points per game compared to their 115.8 season average.
Lakers Betting Records
- This season, Los Angeles has been the underdog 23 times and won eight, or 34.8%, of those games.
- The Lakers have entered eight games this season as the underdog by +159 or more and is 2-6 in those contests.
- The Lakers have a 38.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.8 (first in NBA) | 48.4 (26th) | 41 (28th) | 41 (third) | 25.4 (20th) | 14.2 (19th) |
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