Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee betting: College basketball preview for March 5

Data Skrive

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (15-14, 9-9 CUSA) are underdogs (+2.5) as they attempt to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Florida International Panthers (14-15, 7-11 CUSA) at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at Ocean Bank Convocation Center. The contest airs on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 154.5.

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Florida International Cover -2.5 vs Middle Tennessee -106

Bet $20, Payout $38.87

Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee betting lines

  • Florida International moneyline odds to win: -141
  • Middle Tennessee moneyline odds to win: +115
  • Spread: Florida International (-2.5)
  • Total: 154.5

Florida International statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Florida International has a better record against the spread at home (8-5-0) than it does in road games (7-6-0).
  • The Panthers have gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (46.2%) than road tilts (69.2%).
  • At home, Florida International has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 7-4 (.636). On the road, it is 0-1 (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Panthers have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 76.6 points per contest over that span compared to the 81.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
  • Florida International’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (78.5) reflects no change from its season-long per-game points allowed average during the 2025-26 campaign.
  • The Panthers’ past 10 contests have seen them make 6.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 7.6 makes and 35.7%.

Florida International betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-11-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 9-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 9-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 7-4; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (165th in nation) 43.6 (138th) 33.7 (91st) 32.4 (265th) 14.6 (125th) 12.6 (317th)

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Middle Tennessee statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Middle Tennessee has had better results on the road (6-5-0) than at home (4-8-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Blue Raiders games have finished over more often at home (seven of 12, 58.3%) than on the road (five of 11, 45.5%).
  • The Blue Raiders’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .333 (1-2), and away it is .429 (3-4).

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Blue Raiders are putting up 77.8 points per game, 2.0 more than their season average (75.8).
  • Middle Tennessee is ceding 78.8 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 73.1 points allowed.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Blue Raiders are sinking 8.1 threes per game, 1.1 fewer threes than their season average (9.2). They also sport a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (29.8%) compared to their season average (33.6%).

Middle Tennessee betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-15-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-10-0; As Underdog: 8-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-12-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-6 (Home: 7-2; Away: 0-4)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.7 (212th in nation) 44.1 (164th) 32.8 (120th) 31.1 (197th) 14.2 (150th) 10.3 (109th)
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