Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt betting: College basketball preview for March 7

Data Skrive

The No. 23 Tennessee Volunteers (21-9, 11-6 SEC) are at home in SEC action against the No. 24 Vanderbilt Commodores (23-7, 10-7 SEC) on Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET. The Volunteers are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 145.5.

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Tennessee Cover -3.5 vs Vanderbilt -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt betting lines

  • Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -171
  • Vanderbilt moneyline odds to win: +139
  • Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)
  • Total: 145.5

Tennessee statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Tennessee has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 16 opportunities at home, and it has covered four times in 10 opportunities in away games.
  • The Volunteers have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (56.2%) than road games (30%).
  • Tennessee has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 14-2 (.875). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 3-2 (.600).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Volunteers have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 75.2 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 80.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • Tennessee’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (67.0) is 1.9 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.9).
  • The Volunteers are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 5.5 threes per game and shooting 31.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 6.7 makes and 34.1% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Tennessee betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 10-12-0 (As Favorite: 10-14-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-15-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-6 (Home: 14-2; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (92nd in nation) 40.8 (31st) 39.7 (third) 25.6 (second) 17.2 (24th) 11.4 (227th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Vanderbilt statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Vanderbilt has been better against the spread at home (8-8-0) than on the road (5-6-0) this year.
  • Commodores games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (eight of 16), and 45.5% of the time away (five of 11).
  • The Commodores, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than on the road (1-2) this season.

Recent trends

  • While the Commodores are scoring 87.0 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, tallying 80.7 points per contest.
  • While Vanderbilt is allowing 74.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 76.7 points per contest.
  • The Commodores are draining 0.9 fewer threes per game over their last 10 games (8.8) compared to their season average (9.7), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (32.8%) compared to their season mark (35.2%).

Vanderbilt betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 14-12-0; As Underdog: 1-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-16-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 6-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.7 (46th in nation) 42.4 (79th) 32.8 (123rd) 30.6 (155th) 16.6 (43rd) 8.9 (18th)
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