The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (16-14, 10-9 CUSA) are underdogs (+2.5) as they attempt to build on a four-game win streak when they visit the Missouri State Bears (14-16, 8-11 CUSA) at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2026 at Great Southern Bank Arena. The game airs on ESPN+. The point total is set at 145.5 for the matchup.
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Missouri State Cover -2.5 vs Middle Tennessee -108
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee betting lines
- Missouri State moneyline odds to win: -136
- Middle Tennessee moneyline odds to win: +110
- Spread: Missouri State (-2.5)
- Total: 145.5
Missouri State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Missouri State has fared worse at home, covering seven times in 14 home games, and eight times in 13 road games.
- The Bears have exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (64.3%) than road tilts (61.5%).
- Missouri State has played worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 7-6, compared to going 1-0 in road games.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Bears have increased their production slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 75.8 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 75.7 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
- Missouri State’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 77.4 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 73.9 points per game its opponents average this season.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Bears are making 0.4 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.0 compared to 7.6 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.0% compared to 32.8% season-long).
Missouri State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 8-5-0)
- O-U-P: 17-10-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-6 (Home: 7-6; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (218th in nation) | 45.3 (251st) | 30.6 (257th) | 30.6 (155th) | 14.4 (134th) | 10.9 (186th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Middle Tennessee statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Middle Tennessee is 4-8-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). On the road, it is 7-5-0 ATS (.583).
- Looking at the over/under, Blue Raiders games have gone over more often at home (seven of 12, 58.3%) than on the road (five of 12, 41.7%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Blue Raiders have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-2) than on the road (4-4).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Blue Raiders are scoring 78.6 points per game, 2.9 more than their season average (75.7).
- While Middle Tennessee is surrendering 72.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 77.4 points per contest.
- The Blue Raiders are draining 1.0 fewer three-pointers per game in their past 10 games (8.3) compared to their season average (9.3), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (30.2%) compared to their season mark (33.7%).
Middle Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-15-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-10-0; As Underdog: 9-5-0)
- O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 5-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-6 (Home: 7-2; Away: 0-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 4-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 (226th in nation) | 44.0 (159th) | 32.8 (123rd) | 31.2 (204th) | 14.2 (149th) | 10.4 (120th) |
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