UCLA vs. USC betting: College basketball preview for March 7

Data Skrive

The USC Trojans (18-12, 7-12 Big Ten) are 5.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a six-game losing streak when they host the UCLA Bruins (20-10, 12-7 Big Ten) on Saturday, March 7, 2026 at Galen Center. The contest airs at 9 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The over/under in the matchup is set at 151.5.

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UCLA Cover -5.5 vs USC -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

UCLA vs. USC betting lines

  • UCLA moneyline odds to win: -239
  • USC moneyline odds to win: +197
  • Spread: UCLA (-5.5)
  • Total: 151.5

UCLA statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, UCLA has played better at home, covering 10 times in 18 home games, and three times in nine road games.
  • The Bruins have gone over the over/under in the same percentage of home games as road tilts (44.4%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, UCLA has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.933) compared to away games (.750).

Recent trends

  • The Bruins’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, putting up 78.1 points per contest compared to the 77.6 they’ve averaged this year.
  • UCLA’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 74.8 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 71.0 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • The Bruins’ past 10 outings have seen them make 8.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 38.1% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 7.9 makes and 37.8%.

UCLA betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 7-8-0 (As Favorite: 10-10-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-16-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (77th in nation) 43.4 (120th) 29.2 (313th) 29.9 (109th) 16.0 (62nd) 8.5 (sixth)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on UCLA vs. USC? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

USC statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • USC has performed better against the spread on the road (5-6-0) than at home (6-8-0) this season.
  • Trojans games have gone above the over/under more often at home (nine times out of 14) than on the road (five of 11) this year.
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Trojans have won the same percentage of games (.250) at home (1-3) and away (2-6).

Recent trends

  • In their previous 10 games, the Trojans are posting 72.6 points per game, 6.3 fewer points than their season average (78.9).
  • Over its past 10 games, USC is giving up 81.3 points per game, 3.9 more points than its season average (77.4).
  • The Trojans are sinking 0.6 fewer threes per game over their previous 10 games (5.6) compared to their season average (6.2), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (30.6%) compared to their season mark (31.4%).

USC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-16-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 7-10-0; As Underdog: 6-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-3 (Home: 7-3; Away: 3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (163rd in nation) 43.0 (97th) 33.2 (108th) 30.7 (161st) 14.8 (117th) 12.2 (297th)
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