Troy vs. Southern Miss betting: Sun Belt Tournament preview for March 8

Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed Troy Trojans (20-11, 12-6 Sun Belt) and the No. 8 seed Southern Miss Golden Eagles (19-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) meet in the Sun Belt Tournament Sunday at Pensacola Bay Center, starting at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Troy is favored by 4.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 141.5.

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Troy Cover -4.5 vs Southern Miss -126

Bet $20, Payout $35.87

Troy vs. Southern Miss betting lines

  • Troy moneyline odds to win: -224
  • Southern Miss moneyline odds to win: +180
  • Spread: Troy (-4.5)
  • Total: 141.5

Troy statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Trojans have been racking up 67.7 points per game, an average that’s significantly lower than the 80.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Troy’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (67.9) is 5.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (73.6).
  • The Trojans’ last 10 outings have seen them make 8.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 29.7% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 9.6 makes and 33.9%.

Troy betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 8-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 8-10-0 (As Favorite: 9-12-0; As Underdog: 6-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 8-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-8 (Home: 7-3; Away: 5-4)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 4-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (215th in nation) 43.5 (127th) 35.0 (42nd) 31.6 (219th) 16.1 (58th) 11.1 (203rd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Troy vs. Southern Miss? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Southern Miss statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Golden Eagles are tallying 78.1 points per contest over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 74.9.
  • Southern Miss has played worse defensively in its past 10 games, allowing 75.0 points per contest, 1.3 more points than its season average of 73.7.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Golden Eagles are sinking 5.8 threes per contest, 0.6 more than their season average (5.2). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (35.8%) compared to their season average (30.6%).

Southern Miss betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-15-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 8-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 13-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 20-12-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 11-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-14 (Home: 3-2; Away: 2-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.3 (178th in nation) 43.5 (127th) 33.1 (112th) 30.3 (135th) 11.5 (337th) 12.1 (293rd)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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