The No. 3 seed Virginia Cavaliers (29-5) are heavily favored (-17.5) to beat the No. 14 seed Wright State Raiders (23-11) in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday at Xfinity Mobile Arena. The matchup starts at 1:50 p.m. ET on TBS. Here are some insights into this Midwest Region contest for those filling out their brackets. The matchup has an over/under of 146.5.
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Virginia Cover -17.5 vs Wright State -119
Virginia vs. Wright State betting lines
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: -2941
- Wright State moneyline odds to win: +1180
- Spread: Virginia (-17.5)
- Total: 146.5
Virginia statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Cavaliers’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, racking up 77.7 points a contest compared to the 80.6 they’ve averaged this season.
- Virginia has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 70.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 68.4 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2025-26 season.
- During their past 10 outings, the Cavaliers are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (10.1), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (37.1% compared to 35.9% season-long).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-16-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 17.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 14-15-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
- O-U-P: 15-19-0 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (106th in nation) | 39.5 (12th) | 36.6 (19th) | 28.7 (44th) | 16.6 (37th) | 10.3 (114th) |
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Wright State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Raiders are posting 82.7 points per contest in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 80.7.
- While Wright State is allowing 73.4 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 76.4 points per contest.
- The Raiders are making 7.0 treys per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.1). That said, they have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (38.5%) compared to their season average from downtown (36.1%).
Wright State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-12-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 10-4-0)
- O-U-P: 15-17-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-5 (Home: 9-4; Away: 7-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (29th in nation) | 45.7 (265th) | 31.7 (198th) | 27.8 (23rd) | 13.8 (179th) | 10.8 (173rd) |
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