Yordan Alvarez and Byron Buxton square off in a battle between top-five sluggers when the Houston Astros (41-44) and the Minnesota Twins (39-45) play at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday at Daikin Park. Alvarez has 25 homers (second in the league) for the favored Astros (-128), while Buxton is second in MLB play with 25 round-trippers this season for the underdog Twins (+107). Houston has Peter Lambert starting, while Minnesota will send out Zebby Matthews.
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Astros to win vs Twins -128
Astros vs. Twins betting lines
- Favorite: Astros (-128)
- Underdog: Twins (+107)
- Over/under: 8.5
Astros betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching
Astros betting info
- The Astros have won 12 of the 28 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (42.9%).
- When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -128 or shorter, Houston has a 9-11 record (winning 45% of its games).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Astros have an implied win probability of 56.1%.
- In the 85 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for Houston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-37-4).
- The Astros have covered 48.2% of their games this season, going 41-44-0 against the spread.
Astros hitting info
- Alvarez leads the Astros in home runs (25), runs batted in (56) and has put up a team-high batting average of .314.
- Alvarez’s home runs rank second in MLB and he ranks eighth in RBI in MLB.
- Christian Walker is batting .240 with 16 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks.
- Walker ranks 17th in homers and 12th in RBI among MLB batters this season.
- Isaac Paredes is hitting .250 with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 32 walks.
- Paredes takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with two doubles, a walk and five RBIs.
- Jeremy Pena is batting .298 with nine doubles, six home runs and 15 walks.
- Pena enters this game on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with three walks and three RBIs.
Astros pitching rankings
- The Astros pitching staff ranks 10th in the majors with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.
- Houston has a 4.77 team ERA that ranks 26th among all MLB pitching staffs.
- The Astros average MLB’s 23rd-ranked WHIP (1.395).
- Astros pitchers combine to give up 111 total home runs at a rate of 1.3 per game (fifth-most in the majors).
- In its 8-6 win last time out, Houston struck out five Tigers batters while allowing 11 hits.
Twins betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching
Twins betting info
- The Twins have won 25, or 43.9%, of the 57 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- Minnesota has entered 44 games this season as the underdog by +107 or more and is 20-24 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 48.3% chance to win.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 84 games with a total this season.
- The Twins are 45-39-0 ATS in their 84 games with a spread this season.
Twins hitting info
- Buxton leads Minnesota in batting average (.272) and home runs (25) this season, while also chipping in with 43 RBI.
- Buxton’s home run total ranks second in the majors, and he is 49th in RBI.
- Brooks Lee has 71 hits and an OBP of .301 to go with a slugging percentage of .443 this season.
- Lee currently ranks 35th in homers and 31st in RBI in the major leagues.
- Lee has hit safely in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBIs.
- Josh Bell is among the top hitters for Minnesota with a .244 average, nine homers and 51 RBI.
- Bell enters this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double, a triple, two walks and three RBIs.
- Kody Clemens has 60 hits and an OBP of .309 to go with a slugging percentage of .468 this season.
- Clemens has hit safely in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .111 with a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
Twins pitching rankings
- The Twins strike out 8.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 20th in MLB.
- Minnesota has pitched to a 4.89 ERA this season, which ranks 28th in baseball.
- The Twins have a combined WHIP of 1.410 as a pitching staff, which ranks 25th in MLB.
- The Twins have allowed the 21st-fewest home runs this season with 98, or 1.2 per game.
- Minnesota suffered an 8-5 defeat in its most recent game, as its pitchers struck out four Rockies batters while allowing 12 hits.

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