Mets vs. Royals Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 9, 2026

Data Skrive

The New York Mets (39-54) and the Kansas City Royals (38-55) square off on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET with the series tied 1-1. The Mets are favored (-151) to take the rubber match against the Royals (+124). Sean Manaea gets the starting nod for New York, and Michael Wacha is Kansas City’s choice to start.

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Money Line

Mets to win vs Royals -151

Bet $20, Payout $33.25

Mets vs. Royals betting lines

  • Favorite: Mets (-151)
  • Underdog: Royals (+124)
  • Over/under: 9

Mets betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Mets betting info

  • The Mets have gone 31-29 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 51.7% of those games).
  • When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -151 or shorter, New York has a 10-11 record (winning 47.6% of its games).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Mets’ implied win probability is 60.2%.
  • New York has played in 93 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-42-8).
  • The Mets have a 40-53-0 record ATS this season (covering 43% of the time).

Mets hitting info

  • Juan Soto leads the Mets with 20 home runs while accumulating a team-best batting average of .295.
  • Soto ranks 14th in home runs and 47th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Bo Bichette has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 50 RBI.
  • Among all MLB batters, Bichette ranks 103rd in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
  • Bichette has safely hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .286 with a double, three walks and four RBIs.
  • Carson Benge is hitting .265 with 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Benge enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
  • A.J. Ewing has eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 22 walks while hitting .279.
  • Ewing heads into this game on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with a double, three home runs, two walks and five RBIs.

Mets pitching rankings

  • The Mets pitching staff ranks third in MLB with a collective 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • New York’s 4.39 team ERA ranks 20th among all MLB pitching staffs.
  • The Mets average baseball’s 16th-ranked WHIP (1.322).
  • The Mets surrender the 14th-fewest home runs in baseball (101 total, 1.1 per game).
  • In its 6-2 win last time out, New York struck out seven Royals batters while allowing eight hits.

Royals betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Royals betting info

  • This season, the Royals have been the underdog 59 times and won 22, or 37.3%, of those games.
  • Kansas City has entered 14 games this season as the underdog by +124 or more and is 5-9 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 44.6% chance of a victory for the Royals.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 45 of its 93 chances.
  • The Royals have an ATS record of 41-52-0 in 93 games with a spread this season.

Royals hitting info

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads Kansas City with a .289 batting average. He’s also hit 12 homers and has 38 RBI.
  • In all of MLB, Witt ranks 82nd in home runs and 103rd in RBI.
  • Witt brings a four-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .273 with two walks and two RBIs.
  • Carter Jensen is a key run producer for Kansas City with a .247 average, 13 homers and 49 RBI.
  • Jensen ranks 68th among hitters in MLB in homers, and 47th in RBI.
  • Jensen heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
  • Jac Caglianone’s 14 home runs lead all Kansas City hitters, and he’s slugging .455.
  • Caglianone takes a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .174 with two doubles and three RBIs.
  • Michael Massey is batting .263 with an OBP of .300 and a slugging percentage of .429 this season.
  • Massey has safely hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with a double, three walks and four RBIs.

Royals pitching rankings

  • The Royals have a 7.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 26th in baseball.
  • Kansas City has the 28th-ranked ERA (4.87) in the majors this season.
  • The Royals have a combined WHIP of 1.450 as a pitching staff, which is fourth-worst in baseball this season.
  • With 119 homers allowed, the Royals rank 24th in the league at preventing long balls.
  • Last time out, Kansas City fell to the Mets 6-2. Its pitchers compiled six strikeouts and nine hits allowed.
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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

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Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …