Rays vs. Guardians Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 26, 2026

Data Skrive

Nick Fortes leads the Tampa Bay Rays (60-43) into a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians (54-51) following his four-hit outing in an 11-3 win over the Guardians. The Rays are moneyline favorites (-138) for this game against the underdog Guardians (+113), which starts at 12:15 p.m. ET on Sunday. Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen starts against Cleveland’s Parker Messick.

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Moneyline

Rays to win vs Guardians -138

Bet $20, Payout $34.49

Rays vs. Guardians betting lines

  • Favorite: Rays (-138)
  • Underdog: Guardians (+113)
  • Over/under: 7

Rays betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Rays betting info

  • The Rays have gone 41-22 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 65.1% of those games).
  • Tampa Bay has gone 19-9 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -138 or shorter (67.9% winning percentage).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Rays have an implied win probability of 58%.
  • In the 103 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-50-6).
  • The Rays have covered 57.3% of their games this season, going 59-44-0 ATS.

Rays hitting info

  • Junior Caminero leads the Rays with 29 home runs.
  • Caminero’s home runs rank fifth in MLB and he ranks 20th in RBI in MLB.
  • Yandy Diaz’s .304 batting average leads his team.
  • Diaz ranks 76th in homers and 23rd in RBI among MLB hitters this season.
  • Jonathan Aranda has collected a team-best 65 runs batted in.
  • Chandler Simpson is hitting .291 with 11 doubles, six triples and 20 walks.

Rays pitching rankings

  • The Rays pitching staff is 22nd in the majors with a collective 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • Tampa Bay has a 3.83 team ERA that ranks ninth across all MLB pitching staffs.
  • The Rays have the fourth-lowest WHIP in baseball (1.174).
  • Rays pitchers combine to allow 129 total home runs at a clip of 1.3 per game (23rd-fewest in baseball).
  • Tampa Bay took down the Guardians 11-3 in its last game with seven strikeouts while allowing seven hits.

Guardians betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Guardians betting info

  • This season, the Guardians have been the underdog 46 times and won 24, or 52.2%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 15-11, a 57.7% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +113 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Guardians have a 46.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 105 chances.
  • The Guardians are 52-53-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians hitting info

  • Chase DeLauter leads Cleveland in batting average (.284), home runs (11) and runs batted in (50) this season.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, DeLauter ranks 110th in homers and 64th in RBI.
  • Brayan Rocchio has 97 hits and an OBP of .335 to go with a slugging percentage of .407 this season.
  • Rocchio ranks 146th overall in home runs and 69th in RBI this season.
  • Jose Ramirez is slashing .239/.341/.413 this season for the Guardians.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .248 with an OBP of .354 and a slugging percentage of .307 this season.
  • Kwan brings a three-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with a double, four walks and two RBIs.

Guardians pitching rankings

  • The Guardians average 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-most in the big leagues.
  • Cleveland has pitched to a 3.78 ERA this season, which ranks eighth in baseball.
  • The Guardians have a combined WHIP of 1.272 as a pitching staff, which ranks 11th in MLB.
  • With 119 homers allowed, the Guardians rank 17th in the league at preventing long balls.
  • Cleveland suffered an 11-3 defeat in its most recent game, as its pitchers struck out 10 Rays batters while allowing 15 hits.
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About Ryan Knuppel

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