The AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs features Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers versus the Houston Texans at 8:15 p.m. ET Monday at Acrisure Stadium. In this article we dig into all of Rodgers’ prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Aaron Rodgers to go over 204.5 yards
Aaron Rodgers Prop Lines
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: January 12, 2026
- Passing yards prop: Over 204.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 1.5 (-107)
Aaron Rodgers Stats and Trends
- Rodgers has passed for 3,322 yards (207.6 per game), completing 65.7% of his passes, with 24 TDs and seven INTs.
- Monday’s prop bet for Rodgers is 204.5 passing yards. That’s 3.1 fewer yards than his 207.6 average for the year.
- In eight of 16 games this year, Rodgers has exceeded 204.5 passing yards.
- His average passing yards prop this year is 216.6 passing yards, while his actual passing average is under that by 9.0 yards.
- This year, Rodgers has exceeded his passing yards prop total in seven of 16 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 14 of 16 games this year — including multiple TDs six times.
- Rodgers has also run 21 times for 61 yards and one TD.
Recent Performances vs. the Texans
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rams | 224 | 1 |
| 2 | Buccaneers | 191 | 2 |
| 3 | Jaguars | 205 | 0 |
| 4 | Titans | 93 | 0 |
| 5 | Ravens | 163 | 0 |
| 7 | Seahawks | 198 | 1 |
| 8 | 49ers | 175 | 2 |
| 9 | Broncos | 171 | 2 |
| 10 | Jaguars | 119 | 1 |
| 11 | Titans | 171 | 1 |
| 12 | Bills | 183 | 0 |
| 13 | Colts | 195 | 2 |
| 14 | Chiefs | 148 | 0 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 235 | 3 |
| 16 | Raiders | 170 | 2 |
| 17 | Chargers | 201 | 1 |
| 18 | Colts | 278 | 2 |
Steelers Home Splits
- The Steelers put up 23.4 points per game at home (equal to their overall average), and allow 21.4 at home (1.4 less than overall).
- The Steelers’ average yards gained (296.7) and allowed (350) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 305.6 and 356.9, respectively.
- The Steelers accumulate 203.6 passing yards per game at home (1.2 more than their overall average), and give up 243.9 at home (same as overall).
- The Steelers accumulate 93.1 rushing yards per game at home (10.2 less than their overall average), and give up 106.1 at home (7.0 less than overall).
- The Steelers’ third-down percentages on offense (37.8%) and defense (39.7%) in home games are both lower than their overall numbers of 40.0% and 41.5%, respectively.
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