Week 13 of the NFL season features Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers facing off against the Buffalo Bills at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Rodgers’ contest.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Aaron Rodgers to go over 201.5 yards
Aaron Rodgers Prop Lines
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: November 30, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 201.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 0.5 (+127)
Aaron Rodgers Stats and Trends
- Rodgers has 1,969 passing yards (196.9 per game), connecting on 66.4% of his throws, with 19 TDs and seven picks this year.
- Sunday’s prop bet for Rodgers is 201.5 passing yards, which is 4.6 higher yards than his average of 196.9 on the season.
- In six of 10 matchups this season, Rodgers has topped 201.5 passing yards.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 221.2. His actual passing average is below that — by 24.3 yards per game.
- So far this season, Rodgers has exceeded his passing yards prop total in three of 10 opportunities.
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all 10 games this year, with more than one TD pass five times.
- Rodgers also has chipped in via the run, with 26 yards on 14 attempts.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 194 | 2 |
| 2 | Jets | 54 | 1 |
| 3 | Dolphins | 146 | 2 |
| 4 | Saints | 109 | 1 |
| 5 | Patriots | 267 | 0 |
| 6 | Falcons | 233 | 1 |
| 8 | Panthers | 130 | 0 |
| 9 | Chiefs | 226 | 0 |
| 10 | Dolphins | 173 | 2 |
| 11 | Buccaneers | 165 | 1 |
| 12 | Texans | 153 | 2 |
Steelers Home Splits
- The Steelers put up 25 points per game at home (0.1 more than their overall average), and give up 21.3 at home (2.6 less than overall).
- The Steelers’ average yards gained at home (296.3) is higher than their overall average (292.2). But their average yards conceded at home (355.7) is lower than overall (364.5).
- In home games, the Steelers rack up 205.5 passing yards per game and concede 271.3. That’s more than they gain (195.1) and allow (258.7) overall.
- The Steelers’ average rushing yards gained (90.8) and conceded (84.3) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 97.1 and 105.7, respectively.
- The Steelers’ third-down percentages on offense (35.6%) and defense (39.5%) in home games are both lower than their overall numbers of 40.2% and 42.7%, respectively.
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
