NFL play for Week 16 includes the Pittsburgh Steelers and Aaron Rodgers hitting the field versus the Detroit Lions at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. Below we take a look at Rodgers’ stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Aaron Rodgers to go over 231.5 yards
Aaron Rodgers Prop Lines
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: December 21, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 231.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 0.5 (-105)
Aaron Rodgers Stats and Trends
- Rodgers has passed for 2,594 yards (199.5 per game), completing 66.8% of his throws, with 22 TDs and seven INTs.
- Compared to his 231.5-yard prop bet total for this matchup, Rodgers is throwing for fewer yards per game — 199.5 — this year.
- In four of 13 matchups this season, Rodgers has topped 231.5 passing yards.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 218.1. His actual passing average is below that — by 18.6 yards per game.
- This year, Rodgers has topped his passing yards prop total in five of 13 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 12 of 13 games this season — including multiple TDs six times.
- In addition Rodgers has 26 yards on the ground (2.0 per game), on 17 carries plus one touchdown.
Recent Performances vs. the Lions
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Packers | 188 | 2 |
| 2 | Bears | 205 | 2 |
| 3 | Ravens | 233 | 3 |
| 4 | Browns | 170 | 0 |
| 5 | Bengals | 237 | 3 |
| 6 | Chiefs | 243 | 3 |
| 7 | Buccaneers | 210 | 1 |
| 9 | Vikings | 116 | 2 |
| 10 | Commanders | 195 | 2 |
| 11 | Eagles | 124 | 0 |
| 12 | Giants | 395 | 3 |
| 13 | Packers | 234 | 4 |
| 14 | Cowboys | 326 | 1 |
| 15 | Rams | 360 | 2 |
Steelers Away Splits
- The Steelers score more points on the road (25.2 per game) than they do overall (24), but they also concede more (26.2 per game) than overall (23.3).
- The Steelers pick up more yards on the road (292.3 per game) than they do overall (288.1), but they also give up more (382.5 per game) than overall (363.3).
- The Steelers accumulate 199.5 passing yards per game in road games (3.9 more than overall), and give up 236.8 in away games (5.6 fewer than overall).
- The Steelers pick up more rushing yards on the road (92.8 per game) than they do overall (92.5), but they also concede more (145.7 per game) than overall (120.9).
- The Steelers convert more third downs in away games (45.6%) than they do overall (39.3%), but they also allow opponents to convert on more (44.9%) than overall (42.4%).
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