Air Force vs. Fresno State betting: College basketball preview for February 22

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Air Force Falcons (3-23, 0-15 MWC) take a 16-game losing streak into a home matchup with the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-22, 1-15 MWC), who have lost nine straight. The Bulldogs are underdogs by only 1.5 points in the contest, which begins at 3:00 PM ET (on MW Network) on Saturday, February 22, 2025. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5.

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Spread

Air Force Cover -1.5 vs Fresno State -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Air Force vs. Fresno State betting lines

  • Air Force moneyline odds to win: -127
  • Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +106
  • Spread: Air Force (-1.5)
  • Total: 142.5

Air Force statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In home games, Air Force owns a worse record against the spread (3-10-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (5-7-0).
  • The Falcons have gone over the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in eight of 13 home matchups (61.5%). In road games, they have hit the over in eight of 12 games (66.7%).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Falcons have been putting up 61 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 62.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Air Force give up 4.3 more points per game (76.8) than its season-long average (72.5).
  • Over their last 10 contests, the Falcons are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (7.9), while shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (32.1% compared to 33.6% season-long).

Air Force betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-17-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-3-0; As Underdog: 6-14-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-10-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-3 (Home: 2-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-20 (Home: 0-8; Away: 0-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.5 (303rd in nation) 47.8 (348th) 27 (354th) 31.4 (204th) 13.1 (220th) 11.8 (242nd)

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Fresno State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Fresno State has performed better against the spread at home (7-3-2) than on the road (5-8-0) this year.
  • Bulldogs games have gone above the over/under less often at home (six times out of 12) than on the road (eight of 13) this season.
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Bulldogs have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-8) than away (1-12).

Recent trends

  • The Bulldogs are averaging 68.9 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 2.6 fewer points than their average for the season (71.5).
  • Fresno State is allowing 80.6 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (81.8).
  • The Bulldogs are draining 0.6 fewer treys per contest in their previous 10 games (6.3) compared to their season average (6.9), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (30.4%) compared to their season mark (31.6%).

Fresno State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-11-2 (Home: 7-3-2; Away: 5-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 12-9-1 (As Favorite: 2-1-1; As Underdog: 12-10-1)
  • O-U-P: 15-10-2 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 8-3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-22 (Home: 0-8; Away: 1-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.6 (350th in nation) 47.4 (340th) 30.7 (265th) 37.8 (364th) 11.4 (330th) 12.8 (312th)
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