Akron vs. Toledo betting: College basketball preview for March 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Toledo Rockets (16-13, 9-7 MAC) will try to break a three-game losing streak when they host the Akron Zips (23-6, 15-1 MAC) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at Savage Arena as 4.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 163.5.

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Akron Cover -4.5 vs Toledo -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Akron vs. Toledo betting lines

  • Akron moneyline odds to win: -208
  • Toledo moneyline odds to win: +171
  • Spread: Akron (-4.5)
  • Total: 163.5

Akron statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Akron has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 13 opportunities at home, and it has covered five times in 11 opportunities on the road.
  • At home, the Zips eclipse the total 69.2% of the time (nine of 13 games). They’ve hit the over in 54.5% of games on the road (six of 11 contests).
  • Akron has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 13-0 (1.000). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 6-1 (.857).

Recent trends

  • The Zips have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 82.0 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.4 points fewer than the 83.4 they’ve scored this season.
  • Akron has been less stingy on defense lately, allowing 75.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 73.9 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2024-25 season.
  • The Zips are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 9.1 threes per game and shooting 33.3% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.7 makes and 35.5% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Akron betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-14-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 8-10-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-11-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-1 (Home: 13-0; Away: 6-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (73rd in nation) 42.3 (96th) 36.0 (23rd) 30.9 (167th) 18.1 (fourth) 12.0 (260th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Akron vs. Toledo? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Toledo statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Toledo has a lower winning percentage at home (.200, 2-7-1 record) than on the road (.600, 9-6-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Rockets games have gone over three of 10 times at home (30%), and nine of 15 away (60%).
  • The Rockets, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than away (2-7) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Rockets have performed worse offensively over their past 10 games, posting 76.1 points per contest, 1.1 fewer points their than season average of 77.2.
  • Toledo is ceding 81.0 points per contest in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 78.7 points allowed.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Rockets are making 5.8 treys per contest, 0.2 fewer threes than their season average (6.0). They have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (34.7%) compared to their season average (34.0%).

Toledo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-15-1 (Home: 2-7-1; Away: 9-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-11-1; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-14-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-6 (Home: 6-3; Away: 4-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.8 (117th in nation) 48.3 (359th) 31.1 (232nd) 32.0 (237th) 13.1 (223rd) 9.1 (13th)
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