The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-6, 2-1 SEC) host the No. 18 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-5, 1-2 SEC) after winning four home games in a row. The Crimson Tide are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 13, 2026. The matchup has an over/under set at 173.5 points.
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Alabama Cover -4.5 vs Mississippi State -107
Alabama vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Alabama moneyline odds to win: -204
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +169
- Spread: Alabama (-4.5)
- Total: 173.5
Alabama statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In home games last season, Alabama sported a worse record against the spread (8-7-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (8-4-0).
- In terms of point totals, the Crimson Tide hit the over less consistently at home last year, as they exceeded the total seven times in 15 opportunities (46.7%). In road games, they hit the over eight times in 12 opportunities (66.7%).
- Alabama won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home last season, going 12-3 (.800). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owned a record of 5-1 (.833).
Recent trends
- The Crimson Tide have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 93.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.3 points fewer than the 93.5 they’ve scored this year.
- Alabama’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has allowed 82.1 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 82.7 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Crimson Tide’s last 10 contests have seen them make 13.4 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.4% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 12.8 makes and 35.2%.
Alabama betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 5-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 (144th in nation) | 42.3 (114th) | 38.5 (14th) | 36.6 (357th) | 16.9 (58th) | 9.9 (51st) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Last year, Mississippi State was 6-9-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). Away, it was 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
- In terms of the over/under, Bulldogs games went over less often at home (nine of 15, 60%) than away (seven of 11, 63.6%) last season.
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs are posting 80.3 points per game in their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 80.0.
- In its previous 10 games, Mississippi State is ceding 74.7 points per game, compared to its season average of 76.8 points allowed.
- The Bulldogs are draining 0.7 fewer treys per game over their previous 10 games (7.1) compared to their season average (7.8), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (30.0%) compared to their season mark (31.3%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-10-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6 (168th in nation) | 42.0 (98th) | 37.5 (28th) | 34.9 (334th) | 12.9 (273rd) | 11.4 (170th) |
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