Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 16

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-24, 0-11 SWAC) are heavy underdogs (+16.5) as they try to stop a 15-game road slide when they visit the Alabama State Hornets (8-17, 5-7 SWAC) on Monday, February 16, 2026 at Dunn-Oliver Acadome. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on SWAC TV. The point total is set at 141.5 for the matchup.

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Alabama State Cover -16.5 vs Mississippi Valley State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State betting lines

  • Alabama State moneyline odds to win: -2273
  • Mississippi Valley State moneyline odds to win: +1070
  • Spread: Alabama State (-16.5)
  • Total: 141.5

Alabama State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Alabama State sports a better record against the spread in home games (3-2-0) than it does in away games (7-9-0).
  • At home, the Hornets eclipse the total 20% of the time (one of five games). They hit the over more often in away games, going over the total in 50% of games (eight of 16).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Alabama State has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.750) compared to away games (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Hornets’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 70.0 points a contest compared to the 73.4 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Alabama State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (71.2) is 7.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (78.4).
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Hornets are making 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.0 compared to 7.5 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (29.7% compared to 32.6% season-long).

Alabama State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-14-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 8-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 3-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-15 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-13)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.8 (328th in nation) 45.4 (256th) 32.6 (154th) 32.8 (287th) 12.4 (290th) 13.2 (335th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi Valley State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Mississippi Valley State is 2-6-0 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). On the road, it is 8-6-0 ATS (.571).
  • Looking at the over/under, Delta Devils games have gone over more often at home (four of eight, 50%) than away (six of 14, 42.9%).
  • The Delta Devils’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-8) and on the road (0-7).

Recent trends

  • While the Delta Devils are scoring 64.2 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, amassing 63.3 points per contest.
  • Mississippi Valley State is allowing 76.7 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 8.2 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (84.9).
  • The Delta Devils are draining 5.3 three-pointers per contest with a 31.9% three-point percentage in their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 5.2 and 30.3%.

Mississippi Valley State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-12-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 10-4-0 (As Favorite: 0-0-0; As Underdog: 12-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-13-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 6-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-17 (Home: 0-8; Away: 0-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.0 (346th in nation) 48.0 (344th) 27.1 (352nd) 33.7 (322nd) 12.2 (303rd) 14.9 (361st)
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