Albany (NY) vs. UMBC betting: College basketball preview for February 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Albany (NY) Great Danes (14-14, 6-7 America East) are slightly favored (by 2.5 points) to continue a three-game road win streak when they visit the UMBC Retrievers (13-16, 5-9 America East) on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET. The matchup has a point total of 159.5.

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Albany (NY) Cover -2.5 vs UMBC -107

Bet $20, Payout $38.69

Albany (NY) vs. UMBC betting lines

  • Albany (NY) moneyline odds to win: -135
  • UMBC moneyline odds to win: +114
  • Spread: Albany (NY) (-2.5)
  • Total: 159.5

Albany (NY) statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Albany (NY) has done a better job covering the spread in road games (6-6-0) than it has at home (3-9-0).
  • The Great Danes have gone over the over/under less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 12 home matchups (41.7%). In away games, they have hit the over in seven of 12 games (58.3%).
  • Albany (NY) has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 3-5 (.375). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 2-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Great Danes have been putting up 72.4 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 74.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Albany (NY) has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 73.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 73.9 it has surrendered per game this year.
  • While the Great Danes are knocking down the same number of threes per game over their past 10 contests compared to their season-long average (6.7), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (30.7% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 31.2% on the season).

Albany (NY) betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-16-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 6-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 3-7-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-6 (Home: 3-5; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-8 (Home: 2-2; Away: 4-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.1 (221st in nation) 48.4 (359th) 30.3 (285th) 30.3 (129th) 12.1 (289th) 10.3 (87th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Albany (NY) vs. UMBC? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

UMBC statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, UMBC has a lower winning percentage at home (.308, 4-9-0 record) than away (.571, 8-6-0).
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Retrievers’ games have finished above the over/under at home (69.2%, nine of 13) compared to away (71.4%, 10 of 14).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Retrievers have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-3) than on the road (4-7).

Recent trends

  • While the Retrievers are averaging 80.8 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, producing 78.7 points per contest.
  • UMBC is surrendering 82.4 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 3.8 more points than it is allowing for the season (78.6).
  • The Retrievers are making 0.3 fewer treys per contest in their previous 10 games (8.6) compared to their season average (8.9), and they are posting a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (37.4%) compared to their season mark (38.3%).

UMBC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-15-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 8-6-0 (As Favorite: 4-8-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-7-1 (Home: 9-3-1; Away: 10-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-6 (Home: 4-4; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-10 (Home: 1-3; Away: 4-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.0 (12th in nation) 46.3 (312th) 30.4 (276th) 35.1 (348th) 14.9 (92nd) 11.4 (200th)
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