Week 7 NFL action pits Amon-Ra St. Brown and his Detroit Lions teammates versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 7 p.m. ET on Monday In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for St. Brown’s contest.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Amon-Ra St. Brown to go over 79.5 yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown Prop Lines
- Matchup: Detroit Lions vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Date: October 20, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 79.5 (-111)
Amon-Ra St. Brown Stats and Trends
- St. Brown’s stat line reveals 44 catches for a team-leading 452 yards and six scores. He posts 75.3 yards per game, and has been targeted 51 times.
- St. Brown averages 75.3 receiving yards, 4.2 fewer than the prop total of 79.5 that has been set for Monday’s outing.
- In two of six games this year, St. Brown has put up over 79.5 receiving yards.
- His 75.3 receiving yards per game are 5.8 more than his average over/under (69.5).
- St. Brown has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in four of six games.
- He has a touchdown catch in three of six games this season, scoring more than one TD on two occasions.
Recent Performances vs. the Buccaneers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcons | 289 | 1 |
| 2 | Texans | 182 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 168 | 2 |
| 4 | Eagles | 112 | 2 |
| 5 | Seahawks | 341 | 4 |
| 6 | 49ers | 296 | 0 |
Lions Home Splits
- In home games, the Lions score 43 points per game and concede 15.5. That’s more than they score overall (31.8), but less than they give up (23.7).
- The Lions’ average yards gained at home (394) is higher than their overall average (353.7). But their average yards conceded at home (294) is lower than overall (308.2).
- The Lions’ average yards passing at home (251) is higher than their overall average (225). And their average yards conceded at home (187.5) is lower than overall (212.7).
- At home, the Lions rack up 143 rushing yards per game and give up 106.5. That’s more than they gain (128.7) and allow (95.5) overall.
- At home, the Lions convert 41.7% of third downs and allow 37% to be converted. That’s more than they convert overall (40.3%), and less than they allow (40.6%).
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