Arkansas vs. Mississippi State betting: College basketball preview for March 8

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Arkansas Razorbacks (18-12, 7-10 SEC) are only 1.5-point favorites as they try to continue a three-game home win streak when they host the No. 25 Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-10, 8-9 SEC) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at Bud Walton Arena. The game airs at 12 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The over/under in the matchup is set at 148.5.

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Arkansas Cover -1.5 vs Mississippi State -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Arkansas moneyline odds to win: -122
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +102
  • Spread: Arkansas (-1.5)
  • Total: 148.5

Arkansas statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Arkansas has fared better at home, covering nine times in 16 home games, and four times in 10 road games.
  • The Razorbacks have gone over the over/under less consistently at home, hitting the over in six of 16 home matchups (37.5%). In away games, they have hit the over in four of 10 games (40%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Arkansas has won 10 of 12 games when playing at home, good for a .833 winning percentage. It has won one of two games on the road (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Razorbacks have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 76 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.1 points fewer than the 76.1 they’ve scored this season.
  • Arkansas’ points-allowed average over its last 10 games (74.3) is 4.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.2).
  • During their past 10 contests, the Razorbacks are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.7 compared to 7.1 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (34.4% compared to 33.1% season-long).

Arkansas betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-18-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 10-2; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-9 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (96th in nation) 41.8 (69th) 32 (181st) 31.7 (220th) 14.3 (125th) 11.4 (205th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Arkansas vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Mississippi State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (6-9-0). On the road, it is .500 (5-5-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Bulldogs games have gone over 60% of the time this season, both at home (nine of 15) and on the road (six of 10).

Recent trends

  • While the Bulldogs are posting 79.2 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, producing 76.3 points per contest.
  • Mississippi State is giving up 81.7 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 73.6 points allowed.
  • In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs are draining 7.4 three-pointers per game, 0.8 fewer threes than their season average (8.2). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (28.8%) compared to their season average (31%).

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 11-14-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-7 (Home: 10-5; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (151st in nation) 43.5 (161st) 36 (21st) 32.6 (280th) 15.3 (74th) 10.4 (105th)
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