Arkansas State vs. Georgia Southern betting: Sun Belt Tournament preview for March 5

Data Skrive

The No. 10 seed Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15, 8-10 Sun Belt) are 7.5-point underdogs in their Sun Belt Tournament matchup against the No. 7 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11, 11-7 Sun Belt) on Thursday at Pensacola Bay Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 166.5.

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Arkansas State Cover -7.5 vs Georgia Southern -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Arkansas State vs. Georgia Southern betting lines

  • Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -325
  • Georgia Southern moneyline odds to win: +260
  • Spread: Arkansas State (-7.5)
  • Total: 166.5

Arkansas State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Red Wolves have been putting up 83.5 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 83.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Arkansas State give up 4.6 fewer points per game (72.5) than its season-long average (77.1).
  • The Red Wolves are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 10.1 threes per game and shooting 35.1% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9.3 makes and 33.4% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Arkansas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 8-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 4-6-0 (As Favorite: 12-12-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 10-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-8 (Home: 9-4; Away: 7-4)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.3 (176th in nation) 43.9 (155th) 38.6 (fourth) 29.9 (111th) 15.7 (75th) 13.9 (356th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Arkansas State vs. Georgia Southern? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Georgia Southern statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their previous 10 games, the Eagles are putting up 76.7 points per game, 4.0 fewer points than their season average (80.7).
  • In its previous 10 games, Georgia Southern is surrendering 79.3 points per game, 0.7 fewer points than its season average (80.0).
  • Over their last 10 games, the Eagles are draining 9.7 threes per game, 0.1 more than their season average (9.6). They also sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (34.4%) compared to their season average (32.7%).

Georgia Southern betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 7-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-8-0; As Underdog: 6-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 9-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 6-2; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 1-3; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.3 (291st in nation) 45.1 (239th) 30.4 (266th) 34.4 (340th) 11.0 (348th) 10.1 (90th)
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