The No. 4 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves (22-9, 13-5 Sun Belt) and the No. 5 seed Marshall Thundering Herd (20-12, 12-6 Sun Belt) face off in the Sun Belt Tournament Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center, beginning at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Arkansas State is favored by 8.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total for the matchup is set at 149.5.
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Arkansas State Cover -8.5 vs Marshall -105
Arkansas State vs. Marshall betting lines
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -362
- Marshall moneyline odds to win: +283
- Spread: Arkansas State (-8.5)
- Total: 149.5
Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Red Wolves have been putting up 81.2 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 79.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
- Arkansas State has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 69.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.2 it has conceded this season.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Red Wolves are making 0.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.2 compared to 9.3 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (32.6% compared to 32.0% season-long).
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-11-1 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 9-3-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 12-4-0 (As Favorite: 14-10-0; As Underdog: 4-1-1)
- O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 6-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-6 (Home: 12-2; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.7 (291st in nation) | 40.0 (16th) | 38.3 (fourth) | 33.9 (323rd) | 14.2 (132nd) | 10.1 (69th) |
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Marshall statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Thundering Herd are tallying 76.2 points per game over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 75.8.
- Marshall is ceding 72.4 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 71.5 points allowed.
- In their previous 10 games, the Thundering Herd are making 8.3 treys per contest, 0.4 more than their season average (7.9). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.9%) compared to their season average (32.2%).
Marshall betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-14-1 (Home: 10-4-1; Away: 5-9-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 11-7-0; As Underdog: 4-7-1)
- O-U-P: 14-16-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 10-1; Away: 4-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 (206th in nation) | 43.9 (187th) | 33.4 (92nd) | 30.3 (123rd) | 14.6 (104th) | 11.1 (173rd) |

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