The Arkansas State Red Wolves (12-5, 4-1 Sun Belt) visit the South Alabama Jaguars (12-5, 3-2 Sun Belt) in a matchup of Sun Belt teams at Mitchell Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 15, 2026. The Red Wolves are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5 points.
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Arkansas State Cover -4.5 vs South Alabama -106
Arkansas State vs. South Alabama betting lines
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -186
- South Alabama moneyline odds to win: +154
- Spread: Arkansas State (-4.5)
- Total: 153.5
Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- When playing at home, Arkansas State has an identical winning percentage against the spread as it does in road games (.667).
- The Red Wolves have gone over the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in two of six home matchups (33.3%). In road games, they have hit the over in six of nine games (66.7%).
- Arkansas State has performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games, putting up a home record of 5-1, compared to going 3-2 in road games.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Red Wolves have picked up their output a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 86.6 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 83.3 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- The last 10 games have seen Arkansas State allow 2.9 fewer points per game (75.1) than its season-long average (78.0).
- The Red Wolves’ past 10 contests have seen them make 9.5 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.8% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 8.6 makes and 31.9%.
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-5-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 8-7-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 5-1; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (196th in nation) | 45.8 (295th) | 36.9 (32nd) | 29.8 (113th) | 14.8 (150th) | 13.9 (345th) |
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South Alabama statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- South Alabama’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .333 (1-2-0). Away, it is .444 (4-5-0).
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Jaguars’ games have finished above the over/under at home (66.7%, two of three) than away (55.6%, five of nine).
Recent trends
- While the Jaguars are averaging 74.0 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, amassing 72.6 points per contest.
- In its past 10 games, South Alabama is allowing 68.1 points per contest, 0.7 more points than its season average (67.4).
- The Jaguars are draining 6.1 threes per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.3). Additionally, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (33.4%).
South Alabama betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-9-0 (Home: 1-2-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
- O-U-P: 8-7-0 (Home: 2-1-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 2-1; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.9 (107th in nation) | 37.6 (third) | 33.1 (173rd) | 32.9 (277th) | 11.4 (336th) | 9.4 (25th) |
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