The Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-5, 3-1 Sun Belt) host the Texas State Bobcats (9-8, 2-3 Sun Belt) in a matchup of Sun Belt teams at First National Bank Arena, tipping off at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 10, 2026. The Bobcats are 11.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 156.
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Arkansas State Cover -11.5 vs Texas State -114
Arkansas State vs. Texas State betting lines
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -893
- Texas State moneyline odds to win: +588
- Spread: Arkansas State (-11.5)
- Total: 156
Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Arkansas State sports a better record against the spread in home games (4-1-0) than it does on the road (6-3-0).
- The Red Wolves have hit the over on the over/under in one of five home games (20%). They’ve fared better in road games, topping the total in six of nine matchups (66.7%).
- Arkansas State has fared better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 4-1, compared to going 3-2 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Red Wolves have been racking up 85.7 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 83.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
- Arkansas State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (73.2) is 4.6 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (77.8).
- During their last 10 outings, the Red Wolves are making 1.0 more three-pointer per game than their season long average (9.8 compared to 8.8 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (35.6% compared to 32.3% season-long).
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-4-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 7-7-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 4-1; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (182nd in nation) | 45.4 (284th) | 36.5 (43rd) | 29.8 (119th) | 14.8 (148th) | 13.8 (338th) |
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Texas State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Texas State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .714 (5-2-0). On the road, it is .167 (1-5-0).
- Bobcats games have finished above the over/under 42.9% of the time at home (three of seven), and 83.3% of the time on the road (five of six).
- The Bobcats, when moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-1) as away (0-5) this year.
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Bobcats are averaging 74.8 points per game, 0.3 more than their season average (74.5).
- While Texas State is allowing 71.5 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 75.8 points per contest.
- The Bobcats are making 0.4 fewer threes per game over their previous 10 games (4.7) compared to their season average (5.1), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (29.9%) compared to their season mark (32.7%).
Texas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-9-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 1-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 1-6-0)
- O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 6-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (133rd in nation) | 44.9 (260th) | 33.1 (183rd) | 27.1 (24th) | 13.8 (218th) | 13.1 (310th) |
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