The Troy Trojans (10-5, 3-0 Sun Belt) are 3.5-point underdogs as they try to build on a five-game win streak when they visit the Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-5, 2-1 Sun Belt) on Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at First National Bank Arena. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is set at 160.5 in the matchup.
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Arkansas State Cover -3.5 vs Troy -108
Arkansas State vs. Troy betting lines
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -163
- Troy moneyline odds to win: +137
- Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5)
- Total: 160.5
Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Arkansas State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in four opportunities at home, and it has covered six times in nine opportunities in road games.
- The Red Wolves have hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (25%) than away games (66.7%).
- In home games, Arkansas State has won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 3-1 (.750). In away games, it is 3-2 (.600) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Red Wolves have been putting up 84.0 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 83.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Arkansas State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (75.8) is 2.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (78.0).
- The Red Wolves’ past 10 contests have seen them make 9.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 33.6% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 8.5 makes and 31.8%.
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-4-0 (Home: 3-1-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-3-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 3-1; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (183rd in nation) | 45.7 (292nd) | 36.1 (57th) | 29.7 (116th) | 14.8 (148th) | 13.7 (335th) |
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Troy statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Troy has a better winning percentage at home (.750, 3-1-0 record) than away (.714, 5-2-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Trojans games have gone over two of four times at home (50%), and five of seven on the road (71.4%).
Recent trends
- The Trojans have played worse offensively over their past 10 games, tallying 86.1 points per contest, 0.4 fewer points their than season average of 86.5.
- While Troy is allowing 76.8 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 77.0 points per contest.
- In their last 10 games, the Trojans are making 9.8 threes per contest, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (10.1). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (33.4%) compared to their season average (34.6%).
Troy betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-5-0 (Home: 3-1-0; Away: 5-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-4-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 5-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (187th in nation) | 42.9 (152nd) | 36.8 (44th) | 34.1 (313th) | 16.7 (67th) | 12.5 (260th) |
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