The UL Monroe Warhawks (4-24, 1-14 Sun Belt) are heavy underdogs (+14.5) as they attempt to end a nine-game home losing streak when they host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (17-11, 8-7 Sun Belt) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Fant-Ewing Coliseum. The contest airs at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 164.5.
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Arkansas State Cover -14.5 vs UL Monroe -113
Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe betting lines
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -1515
- UL Monroe moneyline odds to win: +846
- Spread: Arkansas State (-14.5)
- Total: 164.5
Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Arkansas State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered six times in 11 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered eight times in 15 opportunities on the road.
- In terms of over/unders, the Red Wolves hit the over less often at home, as they’ve gone over the total four times in 11 opportunities this season (36.4%). In away games, they have hit the over nine times in 15 opportunities (60%).
- At home, Arkansas State has won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 7-4 (.636). When playing on the road, it is 6-4 (.600) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Red Wolves have been putting up 80.3 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Arkansas State’s defense has been tougher as of late, as the team has allowed 73.8 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 77.0 points per game its opponents average this season.
- The Red Wolves are trending up from deep over their last 10 outings, making 9.9 threes per game and shooting 35.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.2 makes and 33.2% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 8-7-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 11-10-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 13-13-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 9-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-8 (Home: 7-4; Away: 6-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2 (178th in nation) | 43.8 (164th) | 38.5 (fifth) | 29.5 (92nd) | 15.6 (81st) | 13.9 (354th) |
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UL Monroe statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, UL Monroe has an identical winning percentage (.500) at home (5-5-0 record) and on the road (7-7-0).
- Warhawks games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (six times out of 10) than on the road (11 of 14) this season.
- The Warhawks, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-9) than away (1-11) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Warhawks are posting 72.3 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 69.8 points per contest.
- UL Monroe is allowing 84.0 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 0.9 more points than it is allowing for the season (83.1).
- The Warhawks are making 1.3 fewer three-pointers per contest over their past 10 games (6.4) compared to their season average (7.7), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (27.0%) compared to their season mark (32.2%).
UL Monroe betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 13-11-0)
- O-U-P: 18-8-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 11-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-0 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-22 (Home: 0-9; Away: 1-11)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.5 (334th in nation) | 48.0 (347th) | 28.8 (329th) | 37.1 (363rd) | 12.0 (313th) | 12.0 (274th) |
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