The No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) are 5.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on a three-game home winning streak when they take on the No. 1 Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Rupp Arena. The matchup airs at 1 p.m. ET on ABC. The matchup has an over/under of 166.5.
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Auburn Cover -5.5 vs Kentucky -104
Auburn vs. Kentucky betting lines
- Auburn moneyline odds to win: -218
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +178
- Spread: Auburn (-5.5)
- Total: 166.5
Auburn statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Auburn owns a better record against the spread in home games (8-6-0) than it does in away games (4-4-0).
- In terms of over/unders, the Tigers hit the over less consistently in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total eight times in 14 opportunities this season (57.1%). On the road, they have hit the over five times in eight opportunities (62.5%).
- Auburn has fared worse as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 12-1, compared to going 6-0 in away games.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Tigers have been racking up 84 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 85.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Auburn has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 72.6 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 68.4 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2024-25 season.
- The Tigers are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 8.2 threes per game and shooting 33.9% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.3 makes and 36.7% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Auburn betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-11-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 14-9-0 (As Favorite: 15-10-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 23-1 (Home: 12-1; Away: 6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (29th in nation) | 40.3 (27th) | 35.4 (30th) | 28.6 (44th) | 16.8 (22nd) | 8.8 (seventh) |
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Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Kentucky’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .562 (9-7-0). On the road, it is .333 (3-6-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Wildcats games have gone over nine of 16 times at home (56.2%), and five of nine away (55.6%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than on the road (2-3).
Recent trends
- The Wildcats have performed worse offensively in their last 10 games, averaging 79.1 points per contest, 6.5 fewer points their than season average of 85.6.
- Kentucky is surrendering 77.6 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 76.6 points allowed.
- Over their past 10 games, the Wildcats are making 9.4 threes per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (9.9). They have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (39.5%) compared to their season average (37.6%).
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-12-0; As Underdog: 6-2-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-6 (Home: 13-2; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (29th in nation) | 43 (134th) | 34.8 (52nd) | 32.1 (239th) | 17.1 (13th) | 10.2 (81st) |

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