Auburn vs. Mississippi State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 18

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Data Skrive

The Auburn Tigers (14-11, 5-7 SEC) are favored (-5.5) to end a four-game losing streak when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-13, 4-8 SEC) at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 18, 2026 at Humphrey Coliseum. The contest airs on ESPN2. The over/under is 155.5 in the matchup.

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Auburn Cover -5.5 vs Mississippi State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Auburn vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Auburn moneyline odds to win: -251
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +202
  • Spread: Auburn (-5.5)
  • Total: 155.5

Auburn statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • At home, Auburn owns a better record against the spread (6-6-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (3-4-0).
  • In terms of point totals, the Tigers hit the over more often when playing at home, as they’ve exceeded the total seven times in 12 opportunities this season (58.3%). In road games, they have hit the over three times in seven opportunities (42.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Auburn has picked up the win in eight of 11 games at home, good for a .727 winning percentage. It has won one of two games away from home (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Tigers have been scoring 79.4 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 84.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Auburn has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 78.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 79.0 it has surrendered per game this year.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Tigers are making 1.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.5 compared to 7.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (31.0% compared to 33.0% season-long).

Auburn betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-13-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 8-8-0; As Underdog: 4-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-11-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-4 (Home: 8-3; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.1 (135th in nation) 45.8 (276th) 33.0 (129th) 29.2 (73rd) 12.9 (260th) 9.8 (55th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Auburn vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Mississippi State has had better results on the road (5-2-0) than at home (3-10-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bulldogs games have gone over less frequently at home (three of 13, 23.1%) than away (five of seven, 71.4%).
  • The Bulldogs, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-4) than on the road (3-3) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Bulldogs have fared worse offensively in their previous 10 games, putting up 72.2 points per contest, 5.2 fewer points their than season average of 77.4.
  • Over its last 10 games, Mississippi State is allowing 82.2 points per contest, 3.8 more points than its season average (78.4).
  • The Bulldogs are sinking 0.7 fewer threes per contest in their previous 10 games (7.0) compared to their season average (7.7), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (29.9%) compared to their season mark (31.3%).

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-16-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-13-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 0-4; Away: 3-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.7 (211th in nation) 43.0 (110th) 36.7 (25th) 34.8 (343rd) 12.6 (282nd) 11.2 (197th)
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