Auburn vs. Mississippi State betting: SEC Tournament preview for March 11

Data Skrive

The No. 12 seed Auburn Tigers (16-15, 7-11 SEC) are favored by 7.5 points in the SEC Tournament when they square off the No. 13 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-18, 5-13 SEC) Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 3 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is 159.5.

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Auburn Cover -7.5 vs Mississippi State -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Auburn vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Auburn moneyline odds to win: -338
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +263
  • Spread: Auburn (-7.5)
  • Total: 159.5

Auburn statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Tigers have been racking up 80.2 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • The last 10 games have seen Auburn give up 5.4 more points per game (85.6) than its season-long average (80.2).
  • The Tigers’ past 10 outings have seen them make 8.0 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.8% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 7.9 makes and 33.9%.

Auburn betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-18-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-12-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-12-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-7 (Home: 10-4; Away: 1-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.2 (114th in nation) 46.7 (311th) 32.5 (142nd) 29.3 (77th) 12.7 (267th) 10.1 (93rd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Auburn vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Bulldogs have fared better offensively in their last 10 games, compiling 79.0 points per contest, 0.8 more than their season average of 78.2.
  • Mississippi State has played worse defensively in its previous 10 games, allowing 90.3 points per contest, 8.4 more points than its season average of 81.9.
  • The Bulldogs are sinking 9.6 three-pointers per contest in their last 10 games, which is 1.3 more than their average for the season (8.3). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (36.8%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.6%).

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-21-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 2-6-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 5-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-15-0 (Home: 5-11-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-13 (Home: 1-6; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (182nd in nation) 44.3 (181st) 35.2 (38th) 35.4 (351st) 12.9 (251st) 11.2 (210th)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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Betting Guide

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