The Ole Miss Rebels (11-17, 3-12 SEC) will look to stop a 10-game losing streak when they visit the Auburn Tigers (15-13, 6-9 SEC) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Neville Arena as big, 11.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 8:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The point total for the matchup is set at 153.5.
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Auburn Cover -11.5 vs Ole Miss -104
Auburn vs. Ole Miss betting lines
- Auburn moneyline odds to win: -694
- Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +476
- Spread: Auburn (-11.5)
- Total: 153.5
Auburn statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Auburn has played better at home, covering six times in 13 home games, and three times in nine road games.
- The Tigers have gone over the over/under in seven of 13 home games (53.8%). They’ve done better in road games, going over the total in five of nine matchups (55.6%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Auburn has won a higher percentage of its home games (.750) compared to away games (.250).
Recent trends
- The Tigers have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 79.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 4.2 points fewer than the 83.5 they’ve scored this season.
- Auburn has been more porous on defense as of late, allowing 81.6 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 79.7 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
- While the Tigers are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (7.2 per game) when compared to their season-long average (7.8), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.0% from deep over the last 10, 33.6% on the season).
Auburn betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 4-5-0)
- O-U-P: 16-12-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-6 (Home: 9-3; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (154th in nation) | 46.0 (280th) | 33.1 (113th) | 29.4 (80th) | 12.8 (263rd) | 10.0 (77th) |
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Ole Miss statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Ole Miss has a lower winning percentage at home (.214, 3-11-0 record) than on the road (.667, 6-3-0).
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Rebels’ games have finished above the over/under at home (71.4%, 10 of 14) than on the road (55.6%, five of nine).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Rebels have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-4) than away (2-7).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Rebels are posting 73.4 points per game, 1.7 fewer points than their season average (75.1).
- Ole Miss is giving up 84.7 points per contest in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 75.8 points allowed.
- The Rebels are draining 0.6 fewer three-pointers per contest over their last 10 games (6.7) compared to their season average (7.3), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.7%) compared to their season mark (33.0%).
Ole Miss betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-19-0 (Home: 3-11-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-10-0; As Underdog: 6-9-0)
- O-U-P: 19-9-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 7-3; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-13 (Home: 0-4; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 (261st in nation) | 44.0 (168th) | 30.4 (269th) | 32.3 (260th) | 13.8 (184th) | 8.9 (17th) |

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